Recent short-range forecasts from numerical weather prediction models position daily maximum temperatures in Ankara around 28–30°C for July 14, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Ankara’s continental climate typically produces July highs near the long-term average of 29–32°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, with minimal cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime heating. Current model consensus shows a stable ridge over the Anatolian plateau maintaining these conditions without significant advection of cooler air or moisture. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days ahead, limiting upside risk above 32°C or downside below 27°C, while historical climatology reinforces the narrow probability band traders have priced. Updated runs from major agencies will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on July 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 14?
29°C 48%
28°C 20%
30°C 20%
31°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 14, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
20%
29°C
48%
30°C
20%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 48%
28°C 20%
30°C 20%
31°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 14, 2026
25°C or below
$64 Vol.
1%
26°C
$80 Vol.
2%
27°C
$33 Vol.
4%
28°C
$6 Vol.
20%
29°C
$12 Vol.
48%
30°C
$0 Vol.
20%
31°C
$1 Vol.
5%
32°C
$30 Vol.
3%
33°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from numerical weather prediction models position daily maximum temperatures in Ankara around 28–30°C for July 14, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Ankara’s continental climate typically produces July highs near the long-term average of 29–32°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, with minimal cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime heating. Current model consensus shows a stable ridge over the Anatolian plateau maintaining these conditions without significant advection of cooler air or moisture. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days ahead, limiting upside risk above 32°C or downside below 27°C, while historical climatology reinforces the narrow probability band traders have priced. Updated runs from major agencies will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$344End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from numerical weather prediction models position daily maximum temperatures in Ankara around 28–30°C for July 14, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Ankara’s continental climate typically produces July highs near the long-term average of 29–32°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, with minimal cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime heating. Current model consensus shows a stable ridge over the Anatolian plateau maintaining these conditions without significant advection of cooler air or moisture. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days ahead, limiting upside risk above 32°C or downside below 27°C, while historical climatology reinforces the narrow probability band traders have priced. Updated runs from major agencies will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$344End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from numerical weather prediction models position daily maximum temperatures in Ankara around 28–30°C for July 14, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Ankara’s continental climate typically produces July highs near the long-term average of 29–32°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, with minimal cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime heating. Current model consensus shows a stable ridge over the Anatolian plateau maintaining these conditions without significant advection of cooler air or moisture. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days ahead, limiting upside risk above 32°C or downside below 27°C, while historical climatology reinforces the narrow probability band traders have priced. Updated runs from major agencies will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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