Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a sunny, hot day with southeast winds favoring highs near 96-98°F in Denver on July 13, driving the market's concentration in the 94-99°F bands. Persistent high pressure and above-normal regional temperatures have produced consecutive days in the mid- to upper-90s, consistent with climatological peaks for mid-July, while light model spread around boundary-layer mixing and minor upslope influences creates the observed uncertainty across outcomes. Official forecasts emphasize continued dry conditions with no significant cooling trigger expected before the daily maximum, though afternoon convective development or slight forecast revisions could shift probabilities toward the lower or higher bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on July 13?
96-97°F 38%
94-95°F 30%
98-99°F 24.2%
92-93°F 8.6%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
38%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 38%
94-95°F 30%
98-99°F 24.2%
92-93°F 8.6%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
38%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a sunny, hot day with southeast winds favoring highs near 96-98°F in Denver on July 13, driving the market's concentration in the 94-99°F bands. Persistent high pressure and above-normal regional temperatures have produced consecutive days in the mid- to upper-90s, consistent with climatological peaks for mid-July, while light model spread around boundary-layer mixing and minor upslope influences creates the observed uncertainty across outcomes. Official forecasts emphasize continued dry conditions with no significant cooling trigger expected before the daily maximum, though afternoon convective development or slight forecast revisions could shift probabilities toward the lower or higher bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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