National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on July 13 project a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds, driving the market's tight clustering between the 92-93°F (41%) and 94-95°F (34.5%) brackets. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and variable boundary-layer moisture can cap or enhance peak readings by 1–2°F, while above-average regional sea-surface temperatures support stronger sensible heating when cloud cover remains limited. Ensemble model spread and historical July variability at Miami International Airport further explain the modest probability assigned to the 90-91°F outcome. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine these narrow bands ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on July 13?
92-93°F 41%
94-95°F 40%
90-91°F 12%
96-97°F 5.6%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
45%
94-95°F
40%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 41%
94-95°F 40%
90-91°F 12%
96-97°F 5.6%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
45%
94-95°F
40%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on July 13 project a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds, driving the market's tight clustering between the 92-93°F (41%) and 94-95°F (34.5%) brackets. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and variable boundary-layer moisture can cap or enhance peak readings by 1–2°F, while above-average regional sea-surface temperatures support stronger sensible heating when cloud cover remains limited. Ensemble model spread and historical July variability at Miami International Airport further explain the modest probability assigned to the 90-91°F outcome. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine these narrow bands ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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