Current forecast guidance from models and agencies such as the National Weather Service points to a daily high in Miami on July 1 near the low 90s, consistent with July climatology where average highs reach 88–90°F amid subtropical ridging, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon heating. Sea-breeze convection and humidity levels around 70% introduce modest variability, keeping the distribution centered on 90–93°F bins that together hold over two-thirds of market-implied probability. Recent late-June observations of mid-90s readings under drier air have slightly elevated near-term expectations, yet no significant pattern shift or extreme-heat signal has emerged to support higher outcomes above 94°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on July 1?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 1?
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$65,268 Vol.
$65,268 Vol.
Jul 1, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$65,268 Vol.
$65,268 Vol.
Jul 1, 2026
83°F or below
$3,656 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$1,842 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$2,260 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$8,675 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$13,896 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$13,153 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$8,146 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$4,623 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$3,753 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$4,395 Vol.
No
102°F or higher
$867 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from models and agencies such as the National Weather Service points to a daily high in Miami on July 1 near the low 90s, consistent with July climatology where average highs reach 88–90°F amid subtropical ridging, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon heating. Sea-breeze convection and humidity levels around 70% introduce modest variability, keeping the distribution centered on 90–93°F bins that together hold over two-thirds of market-implied probability. Recent late-June observations of mid-90s readings under drier air have slightly elevated near-term expectations, yet no significant pattern shift or extreme-heat signal has emerged to support higher outcomes above 94°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$65,268End Date
Jul 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from models and agencies such as the National Weather Service points to a daily high in Miami on July 1 near the low 90s, consistent with July climatology where average highs reach 88–90°F amid subtropical ridging, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon heating. Sea-breeze convection and humidity levels around 70% introduce modest variability, keeping the distribution centered on 90–93°F bins that together hold over two-thirds of market-implied probability. Recent late-June observations of mid-90s readings under drier air have slightly elevated near-term expectations, yet no significant pattern shift or extreme-heat signal has emerged to support higher outcomes above 94°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,268End Date
Jul 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecast guidance from models and agencies such as the National Weather Service points to a daily high in Miami on July 1 near the low 90s, consistent with July climatology where average highs reach 88–90°F amid subtropical ridging, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon heating. Sea-breeze convection and humidity levels around 70% introduce modest variability, keeping the distribution centered on 90–93°F bins that together hold over two-thirds of market-implied probability. Recent late-June observations of mid-90s readings under drier air have slightly elevated near-term expectations, yet no significant pattern shift or extreme-heat signal has emerged to support higher outcomes above 94°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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