Current mid-afternoon observations from Milan-area stations, including 18–19°C (64–66°F) at Linate per Weather Underground and timeanddate.com data, already exceed 17°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the highest temperature on April 22 surpassing this threshold at resolution station Milano Malpensa Airport (LIMC). High-pressure ridging over northern Italy has stabilized conditions after thunderstorms on April 19–20, with ECMWF and GFS model consensus, alongside Aeronautica Militare and ARPA Lombardia forecasts, projecting daily highs of 18–20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. April climatology supports this, with Malpensa averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon cold front or persistent overcast reducing insolation, though model agreement and remaining daylight minimize such risks; end-of-day data releases will finalize positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on April 22?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 22?
17°C or higher 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$57,306 Vol.
$57,306 Vol.
Apr 22, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
Yes
17°C or higher 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$57,306 Vol.
$57,306 Vol.
Apr 22, 2026
7°C or below
$1,071 Vol.
No
8°C
$1,795 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,782 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,474 Vol.
No
11°C
$986 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,151 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,645 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,806 Vol.
No
15°C
$6,667 Vol.
No
16°C
$21,455 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$16,474 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current mid-afternoon observations from Milan-area stations, including 18–19°C (64–66°F) at Linate per Weather Underground and timeanddate.com data, already exceed 17°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the highest temperature on April 22 surpassing this threshold at resolution station Milano Malpensa Airport (LIMC). High-pressure ridging over northern Italy has stabilized conditions after thunderstorms on April 19–20, with ECMWF and GFS model consensus, alongside Aeronautica Militare and ARPA Lombardia forecasts, projecting daily highs of 18–20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. April climatology supports this, with Malpensa averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon cold front or persistent overcast reducing insolation, though model agreement and remaining daylight minimize such risks; end-of-day data releases will finalize positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$57,306End Date
Apr 22, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current mid-afternoon observations from Milan-area stations, including 18–19°C (64–66°F) at Linate per Weather Underground and timeanddate.com data, already exceed 17°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the highest temperature on April 22 surpassing this threshold at resolution station Milano Malpensa Airport (LIMC). High-pressure ridging over northern Italy has stabilized conditions after thunderstorms on April 19–20, with ECMWF and GFS model consensus, alongside Aeronautica Militare and ARPA Lombardia forecasts, projecting daily highs of 18–20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. April climatology supports this, with Malpensa averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon cold front or persistent overcast reducing insolation, though model agreement and remaining daylight minimize such risks; end-of-day data releases will finalize positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,306End Date
Apr 22, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current mid-afternoon observations from Milan-area stations, including 18–19°C (64–66°F) at Linate per Weather Underground and timeanddate.com data, already exceed 17°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the highest temperature on April 22 surpassing this threshold at resolution station Milano Malpensa Airport (LIMC). High-pressure ridging over northern Italy has stabilized conditions after thunderstorms on April 19–20, with ECMWF and GFS model consensus, alongside Aeronautica Militare and ARPA Lombardia forecasts, projecting daily highs of 18–20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. April climatology supports this, with Malpensa averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon cold front or persistent overcast reducing insolation, though model agreement and remaining daylight minimize such risks; end-of-day data releases will finalize positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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