Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 30?
60-61°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$244,084 交易量
$244,084 交易量
2026-04-30
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$244,084 交易量
$244,084 交易量
2026-04-30
55°F or below
$46,749 交易量
No
56-57°F
$83,766 交易量
No
58-59°F
$42,086 交易量
No
60-61°F
$21,177 交易量
Yes
62-63°F
$17,579 交易量
No
64-65°F
$12,106 交易量
No
66-67°F
$8,425 交易量
No
68-69°F
$4,523 交易量
No
70-71°F
$2,887 交易量
No
72-73°F
$1,838 交易量
No
74°F or higher
$2,949 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
交易量
$244,084結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$244,084結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions