Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 33°C or higher in Panama City today, driven by aligned forecasts from major models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting peaks of 33–34°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. Morning observations already exceed 30°C, building on yesterday's confirmed 33°C high, while April climatology—averaging 32°C—supports this amid low humidity and light winds delaying sea breeze cooling. Official IMHPA guidance notes partly cloudy skies with isolated showers possible but insufficient to alter the trajectory. Realistic challenges include afternoon thunderstorms forming prematurely, potentially capping the high at 32°C through evaporative cooling, though model ensembles deem this low-probability as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on April 29?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 29?
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$56,244 Vol.
$56,244 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
Yes
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$56,244 Vol.
$56,244 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
23°C or below
$517 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,062 Vol.
No
25°C
$717 Vol.
No
26°C
$560 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,580 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,399 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,821 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,318 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,880 Vol.
No
32°C
$17,039 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$6,349 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 33°C or higher in Panama City today, driven by aligned forecasts from major models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting peaks of 33–34°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. Morning observations already exceed 30°C, building on yesterday's confirmed 33°C high, while April climatology—averaging 32°C—supports this amid low humidity and light winds delaying sea breeze cooling. Official IMHPA guidance notes partly cloudy skies with isolated showers possible but insufficient to alter the trajectory. Realistic challenges include afternoon thunderstorms forming prematurely, potentially capping the high at 32°C through evaporative cooling, though model ensembles deem this low-probability as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$56,244End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 33°C or higher in Panama City today, driven by aligned forecasts from major models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting peaks of 33–34°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. Morning observations already exceed 30°C, building on yesterday's confirmed 33°C high, while April climatology—averaging 32°C—supports this amid low humidity and light winds delaying sea breeze cooling. Official IMHPA guidance notes partly cloudy skies with isolated showers possible but insufficient to alter the trajectory. Realistic challenges include afternoon thunderstorms forming prematurely, potentially capping the high at 32°C through evaporative cooling, though model ensembles deem this low-probability as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$56,244End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 33°C or higher in Panama City today, driven by aligned forecasts from major models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting peaks of 33–34°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. Morning observations already exceed 30°C, building on yesterday's confirmed 33°C high, while April climatology—averaging 32°C—supports this amid low humidity and light winds delaying sea breeze cooling. Official IMHPA guidance notes partly cloudy skies with isolated showers possible but insufficient to alter the trajectory. Realistic challenges include afternoon thunderstorms forming prematurely, potentially capping the high at 32°C through evaporative cooling, though model ensembles deem this low-probability as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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