**Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on June 30 point to a daily high near 33°C, aligning with the market's leading 40% probability on that outcome and 26% on 34°C.** In Panama's tropical wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that typically limits highs to around 30–32°C, with historical June averages near 30–31°C and rare excursions above 33°C. Recent model guidance and observations through June 28–29 show conditions supporting a peak of 32–34°C, including moderate instability and sea-breeze effects that allow brief warming before storms develop. No unusual heat anomalies or suppressed convection have emerged in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated on 32–34°C while lower odds on 35°C+ reflect the usual thunderstorm timing that caps extremes. Updated National Meteorological Service or regional model outputs expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on June 30?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 30?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$79,257 Vol.
$79,257 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$79,257 Vol.
$79,257 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
29°C or below
$17,066 Vol.
No
30°C
$818 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,799 Vol.
No
32°C
$17,804 Vol.
No
33°C
$6,493 Vol.
No
34°C
$13,973 Vol.
No
35°C
$6,617 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$2,569 Vol.
No
37°C
$3,779 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,784 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$4,555 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on June 30 point to a daily high near 33°C, aligning with the market's leading 40% probability on that outcome and 26% on 34°C.**
In Panama's tropical wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that typically limits highs to around 30–32°C, with historical June averages near 30–31°C and rare excursions above 33°C. Recent model guidance and observations through June 28–29 show conditions supporting a peak of 32–34°C, including moderate instability and sea-breeze effects that allow brief warming before storms develop.
No unusual heat anomalies or suppressed convection have emerged in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated on 32–34°C while lower odds on 35°C+ reflect the usual thunderstorm timing that caps extremes. Updated National Meteorological Service or regional model outputs expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 28, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
Volume
$79,257End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on June 30 point to a daily high near 33°C, aligning with the market's leading 40% probability on that outcome and 26% on 34°C.**
In Panama's tropical wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that typically limits highs to around 30–32°C, with historical June averages near 30–31°C and rare excursions above 33°C. Recent model guidance and observations through June 28–29 show conditions supporting a peak of 32–34°C, including moderate instability and sea-breeze effects that allow brief warming before storms develop.
No unusual heat anomalies or suppressed convection have emerged in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated on 32–34°C while lower odds on 35°C+ reflect the usual thunderstorm timing that caps extremes. Updated National Meteorological Service or regional model outputs expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$79,257End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on June 30 point to a daily high near 33°C, aligning with the market's leading 40% probability on that outcome and 26% on 34°C.** In Panama's tropical wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that typically limits highs to around 30–32°C, with historical June averages near 30–31°C and rare excursions above 33°C. Recent model guidance and observations through June 28–29 show conditions supporting a peak of 32–34°C, including moderate instability and sea-breeze effects that allow brief warming before storms develop. No unusual heat anomalies or suppressed convection have emerged in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated on 32–34°C while lower odds on 35°C+ reflect the usual thunderstorm timing that caps extremes. Updated National Meteorological Service or regional model outputs expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions