Forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological sources and international models centers on a 25–26°C high for Qingdao on September 9, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds of 4–5 Beaufort that enhance mixing and limit daytime warming over the Yellow Sea coast. Recent observations show stable high pressure with low humidity and no significant frontal systems or tropical moisture nearby, keeping temperatures aligned with early-September climatology of 24–28°C. Slight model spread in cloud cover timing and wind gust strength creates the tight market split between 25°C and 26°C outcomes, while stronger northerlies or increased afternoon insolation could push readings marginally higher or lower. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 9?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 9?
26°C 36%
25°C 34%
27°C 14%
24°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
34%
26°C
36%
27°C
14%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 36%
25°C 34%
27°C 14%
24°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
$141 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$60 Vol.
2%
23°C
$74 Vol.
3%
24°C
$296 Vol.
9%
25°C
$521 Vol.
34%
26°C
$201 Vol.
36%
27°C
$39 Vol.
14%
28°C
$52 Vol.
5%
29°C or higher
$258 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological sources and international models centers on a 25–26°C high for Qingdao on September 9, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds of 4–5 Beaufort that enhance mixing and limit daytime warming over the Yellow Sea coast. Recent observations show stable high pressure with low humidity and no significant frontal systems or tropical moisture nearby, keeping temperatures aligned with early-September climatology of 24–28°C. Slight model spread in cloud cover timing and wind gust strength creates the tight market split between 25°C and 26°C outcomes, while stronger northerlies or increased afternoon insolation could push readings marginally higher or lower. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,738End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological sources and international models centers on a 25–26°C high for Qingdao on September 9, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds of 4–5 Beaufort that enhance mixing and limit daytime warming over the Yellow Sea coast. Recent observations show stable high pressure with low humidity and no significant frontal systems or tropical moisture nearby, keeping temperatures aligned with early-September climatology of 24–28°C. Slight model spread in cloud cover timing and wind gust strength creates the tight market split between 25°C and 26°C outcomes, while stronger northerlies or increased afternoon insolation could push readings marginally higher or lower. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,738End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological sources and international models centers on a 25–26°C high for Qingdao on September 9, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds of 4–5 Beaufort that enhance mixing and limit daytime warming over the Yellow Sea coast. Recent observations show stable high pressure with low humidity and no significant frontal systems or tropical moisture nearby, keeping temperatures aligned with early-September climatology of 24–28°C. Slight model spread in cloud cover timing and wind gust strength creates the tight market split between 25°C and 26°C outcomes, while stronger northerlies or increased afternoon insolation could push readings marginally higher or lower. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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