**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 9 remains tightly balanced between 25°C and 26°C because official observations and model guidance placed the minimum squarely in that narrow band.** High humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered convective showers—driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone—suppressed overnight radiative cooling, producing only a modest diurnal range typical of the region’s wet season. Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá forecasts highlighted lowland minima between 21°C and 25°C amid isolated thunderstorms, while real-time station data hovered near 25–26°C. Minor differences in measurement timing, site exposure, or localized rain cells explain the near-even market split, with lower outcomes discounted by the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 9?
26°C 99%
25°C 20%
20°C or below 11%
24°C 9%
$1,457 Vol.
$1,457 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 99%
25°C 20%
20°C or below 11%
24°C 9%
$1,457 Vol.
$1,457 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
20°C or below
$90 Vol.
No
21°C
$60 Vol.
No
22°C
$37 Vol.
No
23°C
$54 Vol.
No
24°C
$40 Vol.
No
25°C
$30 Vol.
No
26°C
$157 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$496 Vol.
No
28°C
$334 Vol.
No
29°C
$79 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$80 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 9 remains tightly balanced between 25°C and 26°C because official observations and model guidance placed the minimum squarely in that narrow band.** High humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered convective showers—driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone—suppressed overnight radiative cooling, producing only a modest diurnal range typical of the region’s wet season. Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá forecasts highlighted lowland minima between 21°C and 25°C amid isolated thunderstorms, while real-time station data hovered near 25–26°C. Minor differences in measurement timing, site exposure, or localized rain cells explain the near-even market split, with lower outcomes discounted by the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,457End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 9 remains tightly balanced between 25°C and 26°C because official observations and model guidance placed the minimum squarely in that narrow band.** High humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered convective showers—driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone—suppressed overnight radiative cooling, producing only a modest diurnal range typical of the region’s wet season. Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá forecasts highlighted lowland minima between 21°C and 25°C amid isolated thunderstorms, while real-time station data hovered near 25–26°C. Minor differences in measurement timing, site exposure, or localized rain cells explain the near-even market split, with lower outcomes discounted by the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,457End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 9 remains tightly balanced between 25°C and 26°C because official observations and model guidance placed the minimum squarely in that narrow band.** High humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered convective showers—driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone—suppressed overnight radiative cooling, producing only a modest diurnal range typical of the region’s wet season. Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá forecasts highlighted lowland minima between 21°C and 25°C amid isolated thunderstorms, while real-time station data hovered near 25–26°C. Minor differences in measurement timing, site exposure, or localized rain cells explain the near-even market split, with lower outcomes discounted by the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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