**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models project a high near 91–93°F for Houston on September 12, with partly sunny skies, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and south winds of 5–10 mph.** High humidity will keep heat indices above 100°F, but cloud cover and any storms could cap peak readings in the low to mid-90s. This pattern stems from a persistent warm, moist air mass typical of late summer in southeast Texas, with no major frontal systems or tropical influences expected to alter steering or instability in the next 48 hours. Recent observations show similar daily maxima around 91–94°F amid 40–50% rain chances. Trader consensus centers on the 90–93°F range because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, though timing of convection introduces modest upside risk for 94–95°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 12?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 12?
92-93°F 40%
94-95°F 21%
90-91°F 14%
88-89°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
25%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
3%
100°F or higher
3%
92-93°F 40%
94-95°F 21%
90-91°F 14%
88-89°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
81°F or below
$20 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$34 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$268 Vol.
13%
90-91°F
$495 Vol.
14%
92-93°F
$724 Vol.
40%
94-95°F
$491 Vol.
25%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$5 Vol.
3%
100°F or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models project a high near 91–93°F for Houston on September 12, with partly sunny skies, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and south winds of 5–10 mph.** High humidity will keep heat indices above 100°F, but cloud cover and any storms could cap peak readings in the low to mid-90s. This pattern stems from a persistent warm, moist air mass typical of late summer in southeast Texas, with no major frontal systems or tropical influences expected to alter steering or instability in the next 48 hours. Recent observations show similar daily maxima around 91–94°F amid 40–50% rain chances. Trader consensus centers on the 90–93°F range because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, though timing of convection introduces modest upside risk for 94–95°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,904End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models project a high near 91–93°F for Houston on September 12, with partly sunny skies, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and south winds of 5–10 mph.** High humidity will keep heat indices above 100°F, but cloud cover and any storms could cap peak readings in the low to mid-90s. This pattern stems from a persistent warm, moist air mass typical of late summer in southeast Texas, with no major frontal systems or tropical influences expected to alter steering or instability in the next 48 hours. Recent observations show similar daily maxima around 91–94°F amid 40–50% rain chances. Trader consensus centers on the 90–93°F range because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, though timing of convection introduces modest upside risk for 94–95°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,904End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models project a high near 91–93°F for Houston on September 12, with partly sunny skies, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and south winds of 5–10 mph.** High humidity will keep heat indices above 100°F, but cloud cover and any storms could cap peak readings in the low to mid-90s. This pattern stems from a persistent warm, moist air mass typical of late summer in southeast Texas, with no major frontal systems or tropical influences expected to alter steering or instability in the next 48 hours. Recent observations show similar daily maxima around 91–94°F amid 40–50% rain chances. Trader consensus centers on the 90–93°F range because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, though timing of convection introduces modest upside risk for 94–95°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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