Recent forecasts from models including GFS and official sources indicate Moscow will experience mostly clear skies and southerly winds on September 10, 2026, under the influence of a warm high-pressure system. This setup favors maximum daytime heating, with projected highs clustering around 23–25°C—aligning with the market's strong consensus on 25°C at nearly 50% implied probability. Recent updates show a warming trend from cooler early-week conditions, with limited model spread and low precipitation risk supporting these temperatures over cooler or hotter outliers. Key resolution hinges on official Russian Hydrometeorological Center observations, with final data releases expected shortly after sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
25°C 52%
24°C 21%
26°C 15%
23°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
21%
25°C
52%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
2%
25°C 52%
24°C 21%
26°C 15%
23°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
$603 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$592 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$205 Vol.
1%
21°C
$121 Vol.
2%
22°C
$48 Vol.
3%
23°C
$258 Vol.
6%
24°C
$1,077 Vol.
21%
25°C
$347 Vol.
52%
26°C
$343 Vol.
15%
27°C
$315 Vol.
3%
28°C or higher
$100 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and official sources indicate Moscow will experience mostly clear skies and southerly winds on September 10, 2026, under the influence of a warm high-pressure system. This setup favors maximum daytime heating, with projected highs clustering around 23–25°C—aligning with the market's strong consensus on 25°C at nearly 50% implied probability. Recent updates show a warming trend from cooler early-week conditions, with limited model spread and low precipitation risk supporting these temperatures over cooler or hotter outliers. Key resolution hinges on official Russian Hydrometeorological Center observations, with final data releases expected shortly after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,008End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and official sources indicate Moscow will experience mostly clear skies and southerly winds on September 10, 2026, under the influence of a warm high-pressure system. This setup favors maximum daytime heating, with projected highs clustering around 23–25°C—aligning with the market's strong consensus on 25°C at nearly 50% implied probability. Recent updates show a warming trend from cooler early-week conditions, with limited model spread and low precipitation risk supporting these temperatures over cooler or hotter outliers. Key resolution hinges on official Russian Hydrometeorological Center observations, with final data releases expected shortly after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,008End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and official sources indicate Moscow will experience mostly clear skies and southerly winds on September 10, 2026, under the influence of a warm high-pressure system. This setup favors maximum daytime heating, with projected highs clustering around 23–25°C—aligning with the market's strong consensus on 25°C at nearly 50% implied probability. Recent updates show a warming trend from cooler early-week conditions, with limited model spread and low precipitation risk supporting these temperatures over cooler or hotter outliers. Key resolution hinges on official Russian Hydrometeorological Center observations, with final data releases expected shortly after sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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