Trader consensus around 20–22°C for Munich’s September 9 high reflects an incoming Atlantic frontal system bringing widespread cloud cover, westerly winds, and showers that limit daytime heating after Tuesday’s sunnier 28–30°C peak. Official guidance from DWD-linked models and ensembles shows maximum temperatures suppressed near the long-term average of 20.7°C, with precipitation and reduced insolation as the dominant cooling mechanisms. Minor spreads among 21°C, 22°C, and 20°C outcomes stem from small differences in forecast timing of heaviest rain and boundary-layer moisture, while probabilities drop sharply above 23°C due to the established cool-air advection. Updated model runs and DWD briefings expected overnight will provide the next resolution signal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
21°C 31%
22°C 27%
20°C 21%
19°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
8%
20°C
21%
21°C
31%
22°C
27%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 31%
22°C 27%
20°C 21%
19°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
17°C or below
$12 Vol.
2%
18°C
$212 Vol.
3%
19°C
$316 Vol.
8%
20°C
$1,153 Vol.
21%
21°C
$750 Vol.
31%
22°C
$480 Vol.
27%
23°C
$533 Vol.
8%
24°C
$21 Vol.
2%
25°C
$10 Vol.
1%
26°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 20–22°C for Munich’s September 9 high reflects an incoming Atlantic frontal system bringing widespread cloud cover, westerly winds, and showers that limit daytime heating after Tuesday’s sunnier 28–30°C peak. Official guidance from DWD-linked models and ensembles shows maximum temperatures suppressed near the long-term average of 20.7°C, with precipitation and reduced insolation as the dominant cooling mechanisms. Minor spreads among 21°C, 22°C, and 20°C outcomes stem from small differences in forecast timing of heaviest rain and boundary-layer moisture, while probabilities drop sharply above 23°C due to the established cool-air advection. Updated model runs and DWD briefings expected overnight will provide the next resolution signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,568End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 20–22°C for Munich’s September 9 high reflects an incoming Atlantic frontal system bringing widespread cloud cover, westerly winds, and showers that limit daytime heating after Tuesday’s sunnier 28–30°C peak. Official guidance from DWD-linked models and ensembles shows maximum temperatures suppressed near the long-term average of 20.7°C, with precipitation and reduced insolation as the dominant cooling mechanisms. Minor spreads among 21°C, 22°C, and 20°C outcomes stem from small differences in forecast timing of heaviest rain and boundary-layer moisture, while probabilities drop sharply above 23°C due to the established cool-air advection. Updated model runs and DWD briefings expected overnight will provide the next resolution signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,568End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 20–22°C for Munich’s September 9 high reflects an incoming Atlantic frontal system bringing widespread cloud cover, westerly winds, and showers that limit daytime heating after Tuesday’s sunnier 28–30°C peak. Official guidance from DWD-linked models and ensembles shows maximum temperatures suppressed near the long-term average of 20.7°C, with precipitation and reduced insolation as the dominant cooling mechanisms. Minor spreads among 21°C, 22°C, and 20°C outcomes stem from small differences in forecast timing of heaviest rain and boundary-layer moisture, while probabilities drop sharply above 23°C due to the established cool-air advection. Updated model runs and DWD briefings expected overnight will provide the next resolution signal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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