Recent forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS, project a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Munich on September 8 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk below 10%. This setup stems from a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm continental air, enabling strong daytime insolation and surface heating well above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.9°C. Trader positioning, with 32°C at 61.5% implied probability, closely tracks these consensus outputs and historical analogs showing limited late-summer extremes. Resolution hinges on the official station maximum reported by the German Weather Service.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 8?
32°C 68%
33°C 18.9%
31°C 14%
30°C 2%
$22,071 Vol.
$22,071 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
14%
32°C
68%
33°C
19%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 68%
33°C 18.9%
31°C 14%
30°C 2%
$22,071 Vol.
$22,071 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
27°C or below
$2,013 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$481 Vol.
1%
29°C
$230 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,596 Vol.
2%
31°C
$5,729 Vol.
14%
32°C
$4,467 Vol.
68%
33°C
$4,023 Vol.
19%
34°C
$537 Vol.
1%
35°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,362 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,278 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS, project a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Munich on September 8 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk below 10%. This setup stems from a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm continental air, enabling strong daytime insolation and surface heating well above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.9°C. Trader positioning, with 32°C at 61.5% implied probability, closely tracks these consensus outputs and historical analogs showing limited late-summer extremes. Resolution hinges on the official station maximum reported by the German Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$22,071End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS, project a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Munich on September 8 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk below 10%. This setup stems from a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm continental air, enabling strong daytime insolation and surface heating well above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.9°C. Trader positioning, with 32°C at 61.5% implied probability, closely tracks these consensus outputs and historical analogs showing limited late-summer extremes. Resolution hinges on the official station maximum reported by the German Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,071End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS, project a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Munich on September 8 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk below 10%. This setup stems from a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm continental air, enabling strong daytime insolation and surface heating well above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.9°C. Trader positioning, with 32°C at 61.5% implied probability, closely tracks these consensus outputs and historical analogs showing limited late-summer extremes. Resolution hinges on the official station maximum reported by the German Weather Service.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions