Current forecast models project a daily high near 34°C in Guangzhou on September 8, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with northeast winds, moderate humidity around 60-70%, and 30-60% rain chances that could limit peak insolation. Historical September averages sit at 32.6°C, while recent days have reached 32-33°C amid scattered showers. Uncertainty between 34°C and 36°C hinges on exact cloud timing, urban heat retention, and any shifts in steering patterns from the South China Sea; clearer skies or delayed precipitation would favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and station observations on the day will resolve the market, with traders assigning roughly 40% combined implied probability to 35-36°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 8?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 8?
36°C 37%
35°C 23%
38°C 16%
34°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
10%
35°C
23%
36°C
19%
37°C
7%
38°C
16%
39°C or higher
3%
36°C 37%
35°C 23%
38°C 16%
34°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1 Vol.
5%
33°C
$0 Vol.
8%
34°C
$340 Vol.
10%
35°C
$10 Vol.
23%
36°C
$16 Vol.
19%
37°C
$0 Vol.
7%
38°C
$0 Vol.
16%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project a daily high near 34°C in Guangzhou on September 8, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with northeast winds, moderate humidity around 60-70%, and 30-60% rain chances that could limit peak insolation. Historical September averages sit at 32.6°C, while recent days have reached 32-33°C amid scattered showers. Uncertainty between 34°C and 36°C hinges on exact cloud timing, urban heat retention, and any shifts in steering patterns from the South China Sea; clearer skies or delayed precipitation would favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and station observations on the day will resolve the market, with traders assigning roughly 40% combined implied probability to 35-36°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$351End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project a daily high near 34°C in Guangzhou on September 8, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with northeast winds, moderate humidity around 60-70%, and 30-60% rain chances that could limit peak insolation. Historical September averages sit at 32.6°C, while recent days have reached 32-33°C amid scattered showers. Uncertainty between 34°C and 36°C hinges on exact cloud timing, urban heat retention, and any shifts in steering patterns from the South China Sea; clearer skies or delayed precipitation would favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and station observations on the day will resolve the market, with traders assigning roughly 40% combined implied probability to 35-36°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$351End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models project a daily high near 34°C in Guangzhou on September 8, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with northeast winds, moderate humidity around 60-70%, and 30-60% rain chances that could limit peak insolation. Historical September averages sit at 32.6°C, while recent days have reached 32-33°C amid scattered showers. Uncertainty between 34°C and 36°C hinges on exact cloud timing, urban heat retention, and any shifts in steering patterns from the South China Sea; clearer skies or delayed precipitation would favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and station observations on the day will resolve the market, with traders assigning roughly 40% combined implied probability to 35-36°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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