Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai highs of 29–30°C on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain or showers and northeasterly winds. Persistent cloud cover and modest moisture limit daytime heating, aligning with the market’s strong implied probabilities for 29°C and 30°C while capping upside risk for 31°C or higher. These conditions reflect typical early-September climatology without significant subtropical ridge influence or clear-sky amplification. Updated model runs from the National Meteorological Center and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine timing of any clearing and final peak readings used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 6?
30°C 47%
29°C 30%
31°C 17%
28°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
30%
30°C
47%
31°C
17%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 47%
29°C 30%
31°C 17%
28°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$23 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$23 Vol.
4%
28°C
$705 Vol.
5%
29°C
$68 Vol.
30%
30°C
$87 Vol.
47%
31°C
$225 Vol.
17%
32°C
$33 Vol.
5%
33°C
$0 Vol.
3%
34°C
$0 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$39 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai highs of 29–30°C on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain or showers and northeasterly winds. Persistent cloud cover and modest moisture limit daytime heating, aligning with the market’s strong implied probabilities for 29°C and 30°C while capping upside risk for 31°C or higher. These conditions reflect typical early-September climatology without significant subtropical ridge influence or clear-sky amplification. Updated model runs from the National Meteorological Center and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine timing of any clearing and final peak readings used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,202End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai highs of 29–30°C on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain or showers and northeasterly winds. Persistent cloud cover and modest moisture limit daytime heating, aligning with the market’s strong implied probabilities for 29°C and 30°C while capping upside risk for 31°C or higher. These conditions reflect typical early-September climatology without significant subtropical ridge influence or clear-sky amplification. Updated model runs from the National Meteorological Center and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine timing of any clearing and final peak readings used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,202End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai highs of 29–30°C on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light rain or showers and northeasterly winds. Persistent cloud cover and modest moisture limit daytime heating, aligning with the market’s strong implied probabilities for 29°C and 30°C while capping upside risk for 31°C or higher. These conditions reflect typical early-September climatology without significant subtropical ridge influence or clear-sky amplification. Updated model runs from the National Meteorological Center and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine timing of any clearing and final peak readings used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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