Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate generally cloudy to overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers for Lucknow on September 6, supporting maximum temperatures near 30°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover limit daytime solar heating, keeping highs close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Multiple models converge on 29–31°C outcomes, with precipitation probabilities above 70% further moderating peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because any shift in steering patterns or rainfall intensity could tip the daily high by 1–2°C, while clearer breaks remain unlikely given the active low-pressure influences across the region.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
30°C 33%
31°C 31%
29°C 25%
32°C 14%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
25%
30°C
33%
31°C
31%
32°C
14%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
6%
30°C 33%
31°C 31%
29°C 25%
32°C 14%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
25%
30°C
33%
31°C
31%
32°C
14%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate generally cloudy to overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers for Lucknow on September 6, supporting maximum temperatures near 30°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover limit daytime solar heating, keeping highs close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Multiple models converge on 29–31°C outcomes, with precipitation probabilities above 70% further moderating peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because any shift in steering patterns or rainfall intensity could tip the daily high by 1–2°C, while clearer breaks remain unlikely given the active low-pressure influences across the region.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions