Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models indicate overnight lows in Karachi stabilizing near 26–27°C on September 8, driven by high humidity near 80–90%, southwest winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Dew points around 24°C further constrain temperature drops, while light drizzle and showers reported earlier in the week have maintained elevated moisture levels. These conditions align with historical September baselines but reflect current steering patterns that favor moderated minima, creating close market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes as traders weigh model consensus against potential clearer skies overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 8?
22°C 8%
25°C 6%
24°C 5%
21°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
6%
26°C
47%
27°C
47%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 8%
25°C 6%
24°C 5%
21°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
21°C or below
$291 Vol.
1%
22°C
$121 Vol.
8%
23°C
$176 Vol.
1%
24°C
$79 Vol.
5%
25°C
$30 Vol.
6%
26°C
$44 Vol.
47%
27°C
$88 Vol.
47%
28°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models indicate overnight lows in Karachi stabilizing near 26–27°C on September 8, driven by high humidity near 80–90%, southwest winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Dew points around 24°C further constrain temperature drops, while light drizzle and showers reported earlier in the week have maintained elevated moisture levels. These conditions align with historical September baselines but reflect current steering patterns that favor moderated minima, creating close market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes as traders weigh model consensus against potential clearer skies overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
Volume
$990End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models indicate overnight lows in Karachi stabilizing near 26–27°C on September 8, driven by high humidity near 80–90%, southwest winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Dew points around 24°C further constrain temperature drops, while light drizzle and showers reported earlier in the week have maintained elevated moisture levels. These conditions align with historical September baselines but reflect current steering patterns that favor moderated minima, creating close market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes as traders weigh model consensus against potential clearer skies overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$990End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models indicate overnight lows in Karachi stabilizing near 26–27°C on September 8, driven by high humidity near 80–90%, southwest winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Dew points around 24°C further constrain temperature drops, while light drizzle and showers reported earlier in the week have maintained elevated moisture levels. These conditions align with historical September baselines but reflect current steering patterns that favor moderated minima, creating close market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes as traders weigh model consensus against potential clearer skies overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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