Recent forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 9 will likely settle near 26°C, driven by persistent southwesterly winds from the Arabian Sea, moderate humidity around 75-80%, and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with post-monsoon patterns weakened by El Niño influences, producing stable rather than sharply cooler nights compared to historical September averages of 26-27°C lows. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 25-27°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact wind speeds and cloud cover, with traders weighing subtle model differences that could shift the overnight minimum by 1°C. Updated runs expected overnight will clarify whether stronger breezes or clearer intervals push readings lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 9?
26°C 32%
27°C 32%
25°C 25%
23°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
7%
25°C
25%
26°C
32%
27°C
32%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
4%
26°C 32%
27°C 32%
25°C 25%
23°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
$72 Vol.
4%
22°C
$40 Vol.
2%
23°C
$50 Vol.
8%
24°C
$0 Vol.
7%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$0 Vol.
32%
28°C
$10 Vol.
5%
29°C
$46 Vol.
6%
30°C
$73 Vol.
5%
31°C or higher
$30 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 9 will likely settle near 26°C, driven by persistent southwesterly winds from the Arabian Sea, moderate humidity around 75-80%, and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with post-monsoon patterns weakened by El Niño influences, producing stable rather than sharply cooler nights compared to historical September averages of 26-27°C lows. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 25-27°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact wind speeds and cloud cover, with traders weighing subtle model differences that could shift the overnight minimum by 1°C. Updated runs expected overnight will clarify whether stronger breezes or clearer intervals push readings lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$321End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 9 will likely settle near 26°C, driven by persistent southwesterly winds from the Arabian Sea, moderate humidity around 75-80%, and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with post-monsoon patterns weakened by El Niño influences, producing stable rather than sharply cooler nights compared to historical September averages of 26-27°C lows. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 25-27°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact wind speeds and cloud cover, with traders weighing subtle model differences that could shift the overnight minimum by 1°C. Updated runs expected overnight will clarify whether stronger breezes or clearer intervals push readings lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$321End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 9 will likely settle near 26°C, driven by persistent southwesterly winds from the Arabian Sea, moderate humidity around 75-80%, and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with post-monsoon patterns weakened by El Niño influences, producing stable rather than sharply cooler nights compared to historical September averages of 26-27°C lows. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 25-27°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact wind speeds and cloud cover, with traders weighing subtle model differences that could shift the overnight minimum by 1°C. Updated runs expected overnight will clarify whether stronger breezes or clearer intervals push readings lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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