**Forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate a high near 31–32°C for Karachi on September 9, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, high humidity near 70–85%, and extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating.** Recent light drizzle and gusty sea breezes have further moderated daytime maxima, keeping readings close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. These conditions explain the market’s strong clustering around 32°C (52.5%) and 33°C (22.5%), with 31°C as a close third. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of multiple model runs showing limited intensification potential against the possibility of partial clearing that could nudge temperatures slightly higher. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture influx are currently expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 9?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 9?
32°C 52%
33°C 28%
31°C 14%
34°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
14%
32°C
52%
33°C
28%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 52%
33°C 28%
31°C 14%
34°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
26°C or below
$140 Vol.
1%
27°C
$327 Vol.
1%
28°C
$112 Vol.
1%
29°C
$78 Vol.
2%
30°C
$33 Vol.
4%
31°C
$379 Vol.
14%
32°C
$781 Vol.
52%
33°C
$674 Vol.
28%
34°C
$127 Vol.
4%
35°C
$25 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$80 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate a high near 31–32°C for Karachi on September 9, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, high humidity near 70–85%, and extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating.** Recent light drizzle and gusty sea breezes have further moderated daytime maxima, keeping readings close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. These conditions explain the market’s strong clustering around 32°C (52.5%) and 33°C (22.5%), with 31°C as a close third. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of multiple model runs showing limited intensification potential against the possibility of partial clearing that could nudge temperatures slightly higher. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture influx are currently expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,756End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate a high near 31–32°C for Karachi on September 9, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, high humidity near 70–85%, and extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating.** Recent light drizzle and gusty sea breezes have further moderated daytime maxima, keeping readings close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. These conditions explain the market’s strong clustering around 32°C (52.5%) and 33°C (22.5%), with 31°C as a close third. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of multiple model runs showing limited intensification potential against the possibility of partial clearing that could nudge temperatures slightly higher. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture influx are currently expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,756End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate a high near 31–32°C for Karachi on September 9, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, high humidity near 70–85%, and extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating.** Recent light drizzle and gusty sea breezes have further moderated daytime maxima, keeping readings close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. These conditions explain the market’s strong clustering around 32°C (52.5%) and 33°C (22.5%), with 31°C as a close third. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of multiple model runs showing limited intensification potential against the possibility of partial clearing that could nudge temperatures slightly higher. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture influx are currently expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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