Incoming cold air from the north, interacting with regional atmospheric patterns, is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds for Chongqing’s September 10 minimum temperature. Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models show a sharp cooldown from prior highs near 37 °C, with light rain or showers likely moderating the diurnal range and producing projected lows of 19–23 °C. Ensemble differences in precipitation timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing sustain uncertainty between sub-19 °C outcomes and warmer scenarios above 29 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further constrain the daily minimum ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
29°C or higher 97%
19°C or below 48%
22°C 40%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
48%
20°C
21%
21°C
22%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
20%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C or higher
97%
29°C or higher 97%
19°C or below 48%
22°C 40%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
48%
20°C
$0 Vol.
21%
21°C
$0 Vol.
22%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$30 Vol.
39%
28°C
$25 Vol.
39%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cold air from the north, interacting with regional atmospheric patterns, is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds for Chongqing’s September 10 minimum temperature. Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models show a sharp cooldown from prior highs near 37 °C, with light rain or showers likely moderating the diurnal range and producing projected lows of 19–23 °C. Ensemble differences in precipitation timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing sustain uncertainty between sub-19 °C outcomes and warmer scenarios above 29 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further constrain the daily minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$55End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cold air from the north, interacting with regional atmospheric patterns, is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds for Chongqing’s September 10 minimum temperature. Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models show a sharp cooldown from prior highs near 37 °C, with light rain or showers likely moderating the diurnal range and producing projected lows of 19–23 °C. Ensemble differences in precipitation timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing sustain uncertainty between sub-19 °C outcomes and warmer scenarios above 29 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further constrain the daily minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incoming cold air from the north, interacting with regional atmospheric patterns, is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds for Chongqing’s September 10 minimum temperature. Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models show a sharp cooldown from prior highs near 37 °C, with light rain or showers likely moderating the diurnal range and producing projected lows of 19–23 °C. Ensemble differences in precipitation timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing sustain uncertainty between sub-19 °C outcomes and warmer scenarios above 29 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further constrain the daily minimum ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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