The closely matched market odds for Denver's September 10 low temperature reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty typical of early fall in the Front Range. National Weather Service and model guidance show a transitional pattern where diurnal cooling under clear skies could drive readings into the low 50s or below via strong radiative losses at 5,280 feet elevation, while warmer advection ahead of a weak trough keeps the minimum above 70°F. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF highlight variable steering flow and cloud cover as key variables that could shift outcomes by several degrees before the 48-hour window closes. Historical September minima average near 48–52°F, underscoring how modest changes in overnight conditions separate the clustered 52–69°F bins from the dominant tails.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 10?
70°F or higher 92%
51°F or below 91%
58-59°F 40%
60-61°F 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
51°F or below
91%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
40%
62-63°F
40%
64-65°F
40%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
39%
70°F or higher
92%
70°F or higher 92%
51°F or below 91%
58-59°F 40%
60-61°F 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
51°F or below
$0 Vol.
91%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
21%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
24%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
25%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
40%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
40%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
40%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
40%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
39%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
39%
70°F or higher
$0 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds for Denver's September 10 low temperature reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty typical of early fall in the Front Range. National Weather Service and model guidance show a transitional pattern where diurnal cooling under clear skies could drive readings into the low 50s or below via strong radiative losses at 5,280 feet elevation, while warmer advection ahead of a weak trough keeps the minimum above 70°F. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF highlight variable steering flow and cloud cover as key variables that could shift outcomes by several degrees before the 48-hour window closes. Historical September minima average near 48–52°F, underscoring how modest changes in overnight conditions separate the clustered 52–69°F bins from the dominant tails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds for Denver's September 10 low temperature reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty typical of early fall in the Front Range. National Weather Service and model guidance show a transitional pattern where diurnal cooling under clear skies could drive readings into the low 50s or below via strong radiative losses at 5,280 feet elevation, while warmer advection ahead of a weak trough keeps the minimum above 70°F. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF highlight variable steering flow and cloud cover as key variables that could shift outcomes by several degrees before the 48-hour window closes. Historical September minima average near 48–52°F, underscoring how modest changes in overnight conditions separate the clustered 52–69°F bins from the dominant tails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market odds for Denver's September 10 low temperature reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty typical of early fall in the Front Range. National Weather Service and model guidance show a transitional pattern where diurnal cooling under clear skies could drive readings into the low 50s or below via strong radiative losses at 5,280 feet elevation, while warmer advection ahead of a weak trough keeps the minimum above 70°F. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF highlight variable steering flow and cloud cover as key variables that could shift outcomes by several degrees before the 48-hour window closes. Historical September minima average near 48–52°F, underscoring how modest changes in overnight conditions separate the clustered 52–69°F bins from the dominant tails.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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