Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate a Monday overnight low near 61°F for Denver amid scattered thunderstorm activity, with daytime highs in the upper 80s following several days of 90-plus readings. This positions the minimum in the 60–63°F range most likely, though convective cooling timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing introduce variability that keeps probabilities for sub-60°F and mid-60s outcomes closely matched around 25–35%. Historical early-September averages near 53°F underscore the current anomalously warm regime, while model spread on storm intensity and steering patterns sustains trader uncertainty ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on September 7?
78°F or higher 59%
66-67°F 50%
60-61°F 49%
62-63°F 49%
59°F or below
33%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
50%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
19%
78°F or higher
59%
78°F or higher 59%
66-67°F 50%
60-61°F 49%
62-63°F 49%
59°F or below
33%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
50%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
19%
78°F or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate a Monday overnight low near 61°F for Denver amid scattered thunderstorm activity, with daytime highs in the upper 80s following several days of 90-plus readings. This positions the minimum in the 60–63°F range most likely, though convective cooling timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing introduce variability that keeps probabilities for sub-60°F and mid-60s outcomes closely matched around 25–35%. Historical early-September averages near 53°F underscore the current anomalously warm regime, while model spread on storm intensity and steering patterns sustains trader uncertainty ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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