Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low in Miami on September 7 in the upper 70s, driven by high humidity, widespread cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms, and warm surrounding Atlantic and Gulf waters that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology for South Florida, where daily minima rarely drop below the mid-70s absent a strong cold front. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated 90 °F+ implied probability and clustered mid-70s to low-80s outcomes appears to price in uncertainty around storm timing and any last-minute model shifts, with new National Hurricane Center and NOAA forecast updates expected within the next 48 hours likely to narrow resolution odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 7?
78-79°F 50%
76-77°F 49%
90°F or higher 49%
71°F or below 47%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
71°F or below
47%
72-73°F
44%
74-75°F
44%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
44%
84-85°F
44%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
44%
90°F or higher
49%
78-79°F 50%
76-77°F 49%
90°F or higher 49%
71°F or below 47%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
47%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
44%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
44%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
49%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
50%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
44%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
44%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
44%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
44%
90°F or higher
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low in Miami on September 7 in the upper 70s, driven by high humidity, widespread cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms, and warm surrounding Atlantic and Gulf waters that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology for South Florida, where daily minima rarely drop below the mid-70s absent a strong cold front. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated 90 °F+ implied probability and clustered mid-70s to low-80s outcomes appears to price in uncertainty around storm timing and any last-minute model shifts, with new National Hurricane Center and NOAA forecast updates expected within the next 48 hours likely to narrow resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low in Miami on September 7 in the upper 70s, driven by high humidity, widespread cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms, and warm surrounding Atlantic and Gulf waters that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology for South Florida, where daily minima rarely drop below the mid-70s absent a strong cold front. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated 90 °F+ implied probability and clustered mid-70s to low-80s outcomes appears to price in uncertainty around storm timing and any last-minute model shifts, with new National Hurricane Center and NOAA forecast updates expected within the next 48 hours likely to narrow resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low in Miami on September 7 in the upper 70s, driven by high humidity, widespread cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms, and warm surrounding Atlantic and Gulf waters that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology for South Florida, where daily minima rarely drop below the mid-70s absent a strong cold front. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated 90 °F+ implied probability and clustered mid-70s to low-80s outcomes appears to price in uncertainty around storm timing and any last-minute model shifts, with new National Hurricane Center and NOAA forecast updates expected within the next 48 hours likely to narrow resolution odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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