Recent numerical weather models indicate mostly sunny skies and light northerly to northeasterly winds over Qingdao on September 7, supporting daytime heating toward a high near 29–30 °C. As a coastal city on the Yellow Sea, sea-breeze moderation and marine air advection can limit afternoon peaks, while clear conditions and weak pressure gradients allow stronger insolation to push readings toward 31 °C. September climatology shows average highs around 26 °C, so the current setup favors modestly above-normal values. Minor differences in forecast wind timing or boundary-layer mixing among global and regional models create the tight spread across 29–31 °C outcomes. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon observations will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 7?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 7?
30°C 26%
31°C 25%
29°C 17%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
12%
29°C
17%
30°C
26%
31°C
25%
32°C
13%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
8%
30°C 26%
31°C 25%
29°C 17%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
12%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$0 Vol.
25%
32°C
$0 Vol.
13%
33°C
$0 Vol.
11%
34°C or higher
$20 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models indicate mostly sunny skies and light northerly to northeasterly winds over Qingdao on September 7, supporting daytime heating toward a high near 29–30 °C. As a coastal city on the Yellow Sea, sea-breeze moderation and marine air advection can limit afternoon peaks, while clear conditions and weak pressure gradients allow stronger insolation to push readings toward 31 °C. September climatology shows average highs around 26 °C, so the current setup favors modestly above-normal values. Minor differences in forecast wind timing or boundary-layer mixing among global and regional models create the tight spread across 29–31 °C outcomes. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon observations will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models indicate mostly sunny skies and light northerly to northeasterly winds over Qingdao on September 7, supporting daytime heating toward a high near 29–30 °C. As a coastal city on the Yellow Sea, sea-breeze moderation and marine air advection can limit afternoon peaks, while clear conditions and weak pressure gradients allow stronger insolation to push readings toward 31 °C. September climatology shows average highs around 26 °C, so the current setup favors modestly above-normal values. Minor differences in forecast wind timing or boundary-layer mixing among global and regional models create the tight spread across 29–31 °C outcomes. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon observations will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models indicate mostly sunny skies and light northerly to northeasterly winds over Qingdao on September 7, supporting daytime heating toward a high near 29–30 °C. As a coastal city on the Yellow Sea, sea-breeze moderation and marine air advection can limit afternoon peaks, while clear conditions and weak pressure gradients allow stronger insolation to push readings toward 31 °C. September climatology shows average highs around 26 °C, so the current setup favors modestly above-normal values. Minor differences in forecast wind timing or boundary-layer mixing among global and regional models create the tight spread across 29–31 °C outcomes. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon observations will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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