Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office, ECMWF-influenced sources, and high-resolution guidance, converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Munich on September 6 under clear to mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds. This reflects a post-frontal high-pressure regime drawing cooler continental air after warmer conditions earlier in the week. The September 6 climatological average high stands at 21.2°C, so current guidance sits modestly above normal but without strong warm advection or subsidence that would support 25°C or higher. Model consensus has remained stable in the latest runs, with minimal spread and low precipitation risk, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 23–24°C outcomes as the most probable range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 6?
24°C 50%
23°C 33%
25°C 24%
22°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
17%
23°C
33%
24°C
50%
25°C
24%
26°C
7%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 50%
23°C 33%
25°C 24%
22°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
$50 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
17%
23°C
$0 Vol.
33%
24°C
$316 Vol.
50%
25°C
$0 Vol.
24%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C
$0 Vol.
6%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office, ECMWF-influenced sources, and high-resolution guidance, converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Munich on September 6 under clear to mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds. This reflects a post-frontal high-pressure regime drawing cooler continental air after warmer conditions earlier in the week. The September 6 climatological average high stands at 21.2°C, so current guidance sits modestly above normal but without strong warm advection or subsidence that would support 25°C or higher. Model consensus has remained stable in the latest runs, with minimal spread and low precipitation risk, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 23–24°C outcomes as the most probable range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$366End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office, ECMWF-influenced sources, and high-resolution guidance, converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Munich on September 6 under clear to mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds. This reflects a post-frontal high-pressure regime drawing cooler continental air after warmer conditions earlier in the week. The September 6 climatological average high stands at 21.2°C, so current guidance sits modestly above normal but without strong warm advection or subsidence that would support 25°C or higher. Model consensus has remained stable in the latest runs, with minimal spread and low precipitation risk, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 23–24°C outcomes as the most probable range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$366End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office, ECMWF-influenced sources, and high-resolution guidance, converge on a daytime high of 23–24°C for Munich on September 6 under clear to mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds. This reflects a post-frontal high-pressure regime drawing cooler continental air after warmer conditions earlier in the week. The September 6 climatological average high stands at 21.2°C, so current guidance sits modestly above normal but without strong warm advection or subsidence that would support 25°C or higher. Model consensus has remained stable in the latest runs, with minimal spread and low precipitation risk, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 23–24°C outcomes as the most probable range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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