Current high-pressure conditions over central Europe, with clear skies and light northeast winds forecast for Munich on September 6, favor radiational cooling overnight. Official model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to minimum temperatures near 11–13°C, consistent with the 11.4°C historical average low, though dew points around 7–9°C limit further drops. The closely bunched market-implied odds (peaking at 7–9°C) reflect trader focus on forecast uncertainty, including potential model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind. Upcoming model runs and observational updates from DWD or ECMWF will likely drive near-term adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 6?
11°C 49%
8°C 28%
9°C 26%
10°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
5°C or below
17%
6°C
22%
7°C
21%
8°C
28%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
49%
12°C
17%
13°C
2%
14°C
16%
15°C or higher
14%
11°C 49%
8°C 28%
9°C 26%
10°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Vol.
17%
6°C
$0 Vol.
22%
7°C
$0 Vol.
21%
8°C
$0 Vol.
28%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
17%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
16%
15°C or higher
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure conditions over central Europe, with clear skies and light northeast winds forecast for Munich on September 6, favor radiational cooling overnight. Official model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to minimum temperatures near 11–13°C, consistent with the 11.4°C historical average low, though dew points around 7–9°C limit further drops. The closely bunched market-implied odds (peaking at 7–9°C) reflect trader focus on forecast uncertainty, including potential model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind. Upcoming model runs and observational updates from DWD or ECMWF will likely drive near-term adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure conditions over central Europe, with clear skies and light northeast winds forecast for Munich on September 6, favor radiational cooling overnight. Official model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to minimum temperatures near 11–13°C, consistent with the 11.4°C historical average low, though dew points around 7–9°C limit further drops. The closely bunched market-implied odds (peaking at 7–9°C) reflect trader focus on forecast uncertainty, including potential model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind. Upcoming model runs and observational updates from DWD or ECMWF will likely drive near-term adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current high-pressure conditions over central Europe, with clear skies and light northeast winds forecast for Munich on September 6, favor radiational cooling overnight. Official model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to minimum temperatures near 11–13°C, consistent with the 11.4°C historical average low, though dew points around 7–9°C limit further drops. The closely bunched market-implied odds (peaking at 7–9°C) reflect trader focus on forecast uncertainty, including potential model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind. Upcoming model runs and observational updates from DWD or ECMWF will likely drive near-term adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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