Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models place Houston's September 10 high in the low 90s, centered near the long-term average of 90.3°F, with a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms driven by Gulf moisture and the sea breeze. These conditions typically limit extreme heat through cloud cover and rain while preventing sharp cooling, aligning with the market's emphasis on 90-91°F as the modal outcome. Recent days have featured similar low-to-mid-90s readings amid persistent humidity and scattered storms, reinforcing trader focus on this narrow range over outliers. Updated model runs and local observations through the day will determine whether convection arrives early enough to cap temperatures below 90°F or allows a brief push higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 10?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 10?
90-91°F 64%
88-89°F 17%
92-93°F 14%
86-87°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
64%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 64%
88-89°F 17%
92-93°F 14%
86-87°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
79°F or below
$732 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$450 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$127 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$543 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$1,298 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$3,238 Vol.
17%
90-91°F
$1,027 Vol.
64%
92-93°F
$1,254 Vol.
14%
94-95°F
$598 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$280 Vol.
2%
98°F or higher
$248 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models place Houston's September 10 high in the low 90s, centered near the long-term average of 90.3°F, with a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms driven by Gulf moisture and the sea breeze. These conditions typically limit extreme heat through cloud cover and rain while preventing sharp cooling, aligning with the market's emphasis on 90-91°F as the modal outcome. Recent days have featured similar low-to-mid-90s readings amid persistent humidity and scattered storms, reinforcing trader focus on this narrow range over outliers. Updated model runs and local observations through the day will determine whether convection arrives early enough to cap temperatures below 90°F or allows a brief push higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,765End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models place Houston's September 10 high in the low 90s, centered near the long-term average of 90.3°F, with a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms driven by Gulf moisture and the sea breeze. These conditions typically limit extreme heat through cloud cover and rain while preventing sharp cooling, aligning with the market's emphasis on 90-91°F as the modal outcome. Recent days have featured similar low-to-mid-90s readings amid persistent humidity and scattered storms, reinforcing trader focus on this narrow range over outliers. Updated model runs and local observations through the day will determine whether convection arrives early enough to cap temperatures below 90°F or allows a brief push higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,765End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models place Houston's September 10 high in the low 90s, centered near the long-term average of 90.3°F, with a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms driven by Gulf moisture and the sea breeze. These conditions typically limit extreme heat through cloud cover and rain while preventing sharp cooling, aligning with the market's emphasis on 90-91°F as the modal outcome. Recent days have featured similar low-to-mid-90s readings amid persistent humidity and scattered storms, reinforcing trader focus on this narrow range over outliers. Updated model runs and local observations through the day will determine whether convection arrives early enough to cap temperatures below 90°F or allows a brief push higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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