**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 9, 2026, call for sunny, hot conditions with a high near 101°F and heat indices reaching 106°F under a strong upper-level ridge.** South winds of 5–10 mph will limit mixing while advecting moisture, sustaining elevated dew points that amplify apparent temperatures without triggering widespread convection. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–101°F outcomes, reflecting model consensus on minimal cloud cover and continued subsidence. Recent days have already delivered multiple 100–102°F readings amid a prolonged dry spell and heat advisory, well above the 1991–2020 September 9 average high of roughly 91–92°F. With resolution tied to official daily maximum observations, traders appear to discount any late-day cooling or isolated storm potential that could cap the peak below 98°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 9?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 9?
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 40%
96-97°F 4%
102-103°F 2%
$29,290 Vol.
$29,290 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
57%
100-101°F
40%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 40%
96-97°F 4%
102-103°F 2%
$29,290 Vol.
$29,290 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
89°F or below
$547 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$325 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$994 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$1,472 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$4,304 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$10,212 Vol.
57%
100-101°F
$5,676 Vol.
40%
102-103°F
$2,796 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$1,355 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$1,390 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$219 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 9, 2026, call for sunny, hot conditions with a high near 101°F and heat indices reaching 106°F under a strong upper-level ridge.** South winds of 5–10 mph will limit mixing while advecting moisture, sustaining elevated dew points that amplify apparent temperatures without triggering widespread convection. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–101°F outcomes, reflecting model consensus on minimal cloud cover and continued subsidence. Recent days have already delivered multiple 100–102°F readings amid a prolonged dry spell and heat advisory, well above the 1991–2020 September 9 average high of roughly 91–92°F. With resolution tied to official daily maximum observations, traders appear to discount any late-day cooling or isolated storm potential that could cap the peak below 98°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$29,290End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 9, 2026, call for sunny, hot conditions with a high near 101°F and heat indices reaching 106°F under a strong upper-level ridge.** South winds of 5–10 mph will limit mixing while advecting moisture, sustaining elevated dew points that amplify apparent temperatures without triggering widespread convection. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–101°F outcomes, reflecting model consensus on minimal cloud cover and continued subsidence. Recent days have already delivered multiple 100–102°F readings amid a prolonged dry spell and heat advisory, well above the 1991–2020 September 9 average high of roughly 91–92°F. With resolution tied to official daily maximum observations, traders appear to discount any late-day cooling or isolated storm potential that could cap the peak below 98°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,290End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 9, 2026, call for sunny, hot conditions with a high near 101°F and heat indices reaching 106°F under a strong upper-level ridge.** South winds of 5–10 mph will limit mixing while advecting moisture, sustaining elevated dew points that amplify apparent temperatures without triggering widespread convection. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–101°F outcomes, reflecting model consensus on minimal cloud cover and continued subsidence. Recent days have already delivered multiple 100–102°F readings amid a prolonged dry spell and heat advisory, well above the 1991–2020 September 9 average high of roughly 91–92°F. With resolution tied to official daily maximum observations, traders appear to discount any late-day cooling or isolated storm potential that could cap the peak below 98°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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