The Hong Kong Observatory forecast, backed by northeast monsoon conditions and current observations near 29–30°C, has driven overwhelming market consensus toward a 32°C daily high for September 9. Official outlooks project daytime peaks around 32°C with partly sunny, dry intervals and only isolated showers, consistent with regional model guidance and historical September patterns under similar synoptic setups. This positioning reflects high confidence in the primary forecast from authoritative monitoring sources, though minor deviations remain possible if convective activity strengthens unexpectedly or steering winds shift, potentially capping the maximum below the implied threshold. Updated HKO readings and any late-day model revisions will provide final clarity before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$163,747 Vol.
$163,747 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$163,747 Vol.
$163,747 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
$21,405 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,915 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$29,248 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$20,672 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$20,579 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$41,055 Vol.
100%
33°C
$21,873 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,185 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$223 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory forecast, backed by northeast monsoon conditions and current observations near 29–30°C, has driven overwhelming market consensus toward a 32°C daily high for September 9. Official outlooks project daytime peaks around 32°C with partly sunny, dry intervals and only isolated showers, consistent with regional model guidance and historical September patterns under similar synoptic setups. This positioning reflects high confidence in the primary forecast from authoritative monitoring sources, though minor deviations remain possible if convective activity strengthens unexpectedly or steering winds shift, potentially capping the maximum below the implied threshold. Updated HKO readings and any late-day model revisions will provide final clarity before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$163,747End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory forecast, backed by northeast monsoon conditions and current observations near 29–30°C, has driven overwhelming market consensus toward a 32°C daily high for September 9. Official outlooks project daytime peaks around 32°C with partly sunny, dry intervals and only isolated showers, consistent with regional model guidance and historical September patterns under similar synoptic setups. This positioning reflects high confidence in the primary forecast from authoritative monitoring sources, though minor deviations remain possible if convective activity strengthens unexpectedly or steering winds shift, potentially capping the maximum below the implied threshold. Updated HKO readings and any late-day model revisions will provide final clarity before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$163,747End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory forecast, backed by northeast monsoon conditions and current observations near 29–30°C, has driven overwhelming market consensus toward a 32°C daily high for September 9. Official outlooks project daytime peaks around 32°C with partly sunny, dry intervals and only isolated showers, consistent with regional model guidance and historical September patterns under similar synoptic setups. This positioning reflects high confidence in the primary forecast from authoritative monitoring sources, though minor deviations remain possible if convective activity strengthens unexpectedly or steering winds shift, potentially capping the maximum below the implied threshold. Updated HKO readings and any late-day model revisions will provide final clarity before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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