Market-implied odds reflect the strong consensus from official Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models projecting a daily maximum near 33°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 9 amid typical equatorial haze, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection. September climatology shows average highs of 31–34°C with high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight, while current conditions including jerebu and 80% thunderstorm chances align with ensemble outputs clustering tightly around this threshold. Traders assign near-certainty to 33°C because deviations would require atypical factors such as prolonged heavy rain suppressing temperatures or unusually clear skies enhancing insolation. Final resolution depends on verified observations from primary stations, with minor model spread or microscale variability representing the main realistic uncertainties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 9?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$37,507 Vol.
$37,507 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$37,507 Vol.
$37,507 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Market-implied odds reflect the strong consensus from official Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models projecting a daily maximum near 33°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 9 amid typical equatorial haze, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection. September climatology shows average highs of 31–34°C with high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight, while current conditions including jerebu and 80% thunderstorm chances align with ensemble outputs clustering tightly around this threshold. Traders assign near-certainty to 33°C because deviations would require atypical factors such as prolonged heavy rain suppressing temperatures or unusually clear skies enhancing insolation. Final resolution depends on verified observations from primary stations, with minor model spread or microscale variability representing the main realistic uncertainties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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