Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a daytime high of 36–37°C in Jeddah on September 12, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those levels. Typical late-summer conditions feature high humidity, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting peak temperatures near historical September averages of 35–37°C. Stable atmospheric pressure around 1007–1009 hPa and low precipitation chances reinforce this range, with limited model spread indicating low likelihood of extremes. Traders appear to weigh these consensus projections heavily, as any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or humidity could adjust the final recorded maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 12?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 12?
37°C 45%
36°C 30%
38°C 18%
35°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
7%
36°C
30%
37°C
45%
38°C
18%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 45%
36°C 30%
38°C 18%
35°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
32°C or below
$135 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$95 Vol.
1%
34°C
$162 Vol.
2%
35°C
$94 Vol.
7%
36°C
$199 Vol.
30%
37°C
$448 Vol.
45%
38°C
$742 Vol.
18%
39°C
$62 Vol.
5%
40°C
$20 Vol.
2%
41°C
$113 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a daytime high of 36–37°C in Jeddah on September 12, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those levels. Typical late-summer conditions feature high humidity, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting peak temperatures near historical September averages of 35–37°C. Stable atmospheric pressure around 1007–1009 hPa and low precipitation chances reinforce this range, with limited model spread indicating low likelihood of extremes. Traders appear to weigh these consensus projections heavily, as any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or humidity could adjust the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,214End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a daytime high of 36–37°C in Jeddah on September 12, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those levels. Typical late-summer conditions feature high humidity, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting peak temperatures near historical September averages of 35–37°C. Stable atmospheric pressure around 1007–1009 hPa and low precipitation chances reinforce this range, with limited model spread indicating low likelihood of extremes. Traders appear to weigh these consensus projections heavily, as any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or humidity could adjust the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,214End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a daytime high of 36–37°C in Jeddah on September 12, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at those levels. Typical late-summer conditions feature high humidity, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting peak temperatures near historical September averages of 35–37°C. Stable atmospheric pressure around 1007–1009 hPa and low precipitation chances reinforce this range, with limited model spread indicating low likelihood of extremes. Traders appear to weigh these consensus projections heavily, as any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or humidity could adjust the final recorded maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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