**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C as the implied lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 12, 2026, at 97% market-implied probability.** This positioning reflects Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal climate, where high humidity (often 70–90%) and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows close to daytime values. Current forecasts from multiple sources project minimum temperatures of 29–32°C, consistent with September climatology showing average lows near 27–29°C but elevated by recent warm anomalies. Official monitoring indicates stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover that suppress temperature drops. Lower outcomes (e.g., 24°C or below) carry far lower odds because such cooling would require atypical synoptic shifts, such as unexpected moisture influx or stronger winds, which current model runs do not support. Resolution hinges on official station data, with the primary uncertainty tied to any late-day forecast revisions from agencies tracking regional conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 12?
24°C or below 100%
27°C 100%
26°C 98%
32°C 97%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
24°C or below
100%
25°C
1%
26°C
98%
27°C
100%
28°C
2%
29°C
65%
30°C
-
31°C
21%
32°C
97%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
24°C or below 100%
27°C 100%
26°C 98%
32°C 97%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
98%
27°C
$0 Vol.
100%
28°C
$35 Vol.
2%
29°C
$88 Vol.
65%
30°C
$68 Vol.
-
31°C
$120 Vol.
21%
32°C
$77 Vol.
97%
33°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C as the implied lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 12, 2026, at 97% market-implied probability.** This positioning reflects Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal climate, where high humidity (often 70–90%) and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows close to daytime values. Current forecasts from multiple sources project minimum temperatures of 29–32°C, consistent with September climatology showing average lows near 27–29°C but elevated by recent warm anomalies. Official monitoring indicates stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover that suppress temperature drops. Lower outcomes (e.g., 24°C or below) carry far lower odds because such cooling would require atypical synoptic shifts, such as unexpected moisture influx or stronger winds, which current model runs do not support. Resolution hinges on official station data, with the primary uncertainty tied to any late-day forecast revisions from agencies tracking regional conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$418End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C as the implied lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 12, 2026, at 97% market-implied probability.** This positioning reflects Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal climate, where high humidity (often 70–90%) and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows close to daytime values. Current forecasts from multiple sources project minimum temperatures of 29–32°C, consistent with September climatology showing average lows near 27–29°C but elevated by recent warm anomalies. Official monitoring indicates stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover that suppress temperature drops. Lower outcomes (e.g., 24°C or below) carry far lower odds because such cooling would require atypical synoptic shifts, such as unexpected moisture influx or stronger winds, which current model runs do not support. Resolution hinges on official station data, with the primary uncertainty tied to any late-day forecast revisions from agencies tracking regional conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$418End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C as the implied lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 12, 2026, at 97% market-implied probability.** This positioning reflects Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal climate, where high humidity (often 70–90%) and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows close to daytime values. Current forecasts from multiple sources project minimum temperatures of 29–32°C, consistent with September climatology showing average lows near 27–29°C but elevated by recent warm anomalies. Official monitoring indicates stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover that suppress temperature drops. Lower outcomes (e.g., 24°C or below) carry far lower odds because such cooling would require atypical synoptic shifts, such as unexpected moisture influx or stronger winds, which current model runs do not support. Resolution hinges on official station data, with the primary uncertainty tied to any late-day forecast revisions from agencies tracking regional conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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