Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Karachi's September 14 high will likely fall between 36–38°C, with scattered thunderstorms possible as a low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal moves westward and interacts with the southwest monsoon flow. This setup introduces uncertainty in peak temperatures: stronger convection and cloud cover could suppress maxima below 37°C, while clearer periods or delayed rain might allow brief spikes toward 38°C or higher. Historical September averages near 32–35°C provide baseline context, but current humidity levels above 55% and variable winds add to the range of outcomes. Updated Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 14?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 14?
38°C 31%
37°C 25%
36°C 13%
39°C or higher 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
5%
35°C
9%
36°C
13%
37°C
25%
38°C
31%
39°C or higher
13%
38°C 31%
37°C 25%
36°C 13%
39°C or higher 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$151 Vol.
1%
33°C
$101 Vol.
4%
34°C
$51 Vol.
5%
35°C
$0 Vol.
9%
36°C
$8 Vol.
13%
37°C
$0 Vol.
25%
38°C
$0 Vol.
31%
39°C or higher
$118 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Karachi's September 14 high will likely fall between 36–38°C, with scattered thunderstorms possible as a low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal moves westward and interacts with the southwest monsoon flow. This setup introduces uncertainty in peak temperatures: stronger convection and cloud cover could suppress maxima below 37°C, while clearer periods or delayed rain might allow brief spikes toward 38°C or higher. Historical September averages near 32–35°C provide baseline context, but current humidity levels above 55% and variable winds add to the range of outcomes. Updated Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$430End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Karachi's September 14 high will likely fall between 36–38°C, with scattered thunderstorms possible as a low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal moves westward and interacts with the southwest monsoon flow. This setup introduces uncertainty in peak temperatures: stronger convection and cloud cover could suppress maxima below 37°C, while clearer periods or delayed rain might allow brief spikes toward 38°C or higher. Historical September averages near 32–35°C provide baseline context, but current humidity levels above 55% and variable winds add to the range of outcomes. Updated Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$430End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Karachi's September 14 high will likely fall between 36–38°C, with scattered thunderstorms possible as a low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal moves westward and interacts with the southwest monsoon flow. This setup introduces uncertainty in peak temperatures: stronger convection and cloud cover could suppress maxima below 37°C, while clearer periods or delayed rain might allow brief spikes toward 38°C or higher. Historical September averages near 32–35°C provide baseline context, but current humidity levels above 55% and variable winds add to the range of outcomes. Updated Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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