Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models show Denver's overnight low on September 14 centering near 54–59°F amid a warm late-summer pattern with highs in the mid-80s and isolated thunderstorm chances. Clear skies and light winds would promote strong radiative cooling toward the lower end of that range or below, while increased cloud cover, higher dew points, or a passing disturbance could limit cooling and support readings in the upper 60s or warmer. The closely matched market-implied odds on both sub-59°F and 78°F+ outcomes reflect genuine model spread and timing uncertainty around any frontal passage or convective activity, with traders weighting the balance between typical September climatology (average low near 50°F) and the current above-normal warmth. New short-range model runs and evening observations will provide the next key updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on September 14?
78°F or higher 71%
59°F or below 68%
64-65°F 40%
68-69°F 39%
59°F or below
68%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
40%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
39%
78°F or higher
71%
78°F or higher 71%
59°F or below 68%
64-65°F 40%
68-69°F 39%
59°F or below
68%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
40%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
39%
78°F or higher
71%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models show Denver's overnight low on September 14 centering near 54–59°F amid a warm late-summer pattern with highs in the mid-80s and isolated thunderstorm chances. Clear skies and light winds would promote strong radiative cooling toward the lower end of that range or below, while increased cloud cover, higher dew points, or a passing disturbance could limit cooling and support readings in the upper 60s or warmer. The closely matched market-implied odds on both sub-59°F and 78°F+ outcomes reflect genuine model spread and timing uncertainty around any frontal passage or convective activity, with traders weighting the balance between typical September climatology (average low near 50°F) and the current above-normal warmth. New short-range model runs and evening observations will provide the next key updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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