Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Wuhan on September 9 most likely falling between 28–32°C, driven by strengthening northeasterly winds and increasing cloud cover that moderate daytime heating following hotter conditions earlier in the week. Official guidance highlights partly cloudy skies with winds shifting northeast at 3–5 m/s, limiting peak temperatures compared to the clearer, warmer setup on September 7–8. Ensemble spreads reflect typical early-September variability, where small differences in timing of cloud build-up or wind gusts can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical September averages near 30°C, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 9?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 9?
29°C 29%
28°C 27%
27°C 16%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
26°C or below
8%
27°C
16%
28°C
27%
29°C
29%
30°C
14%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 29%
28°C 27%
27°C 16%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
26°C or below
$296 Vol.
8%
27°C
$227 Vol.
16%
28°C
$106 Vol.
27%
29°C
$181 Vol.
29%
30°C
$297 Vol.
14%
31°C
$295 Vol.
5%
32°C
$50 Vol.
3%
33°C
$1 Vol.
1%
34°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$240 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Wuhan on September 9 most likely falling between 28–32°C, driven by strengthening northeasterly winds and increasing cloud cover that moderate daytime heating following hotter conditions earlier in the week. Official guidance highlights partly cloudy skies with winds shifting northeast at 3–5 m/s, limiting peak temperatures compared to the clearer, warmer setup on September 7–8. Ensemble spreads reflect typical early-September variability, where small differences in timing of cloud build-up or wind gusts can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical September averages near 30°C, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,125End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Wuhan on September 9 most likely falling between 28–32°C, driven by strengthening northeasterly winds and increasing cloud cover that moderate daytime heating following hotter conditions earlier in the week. Official guidance highlights partly cloudy skies with winds shifting northeast at 3–5 m/s, limiting peak temperatures compared to the clearer, warmer setup on September 7–8. Ensemble spreads reflect typical early-September variability, where small differences in timing of cloud build-up or wind gusts can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical September averages near 30°C, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,125End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Wuhan on September 9 most likely falling between 28–32°C, driven by strengthening northeasterly winds and increasing cloud cover that moderate daytime heating following hotter conditions earlier in the week. Official guidance highlights partly cloudy skies with winds shifting northeast at 3–5 m/s, limiting peak temperatures compared to the clearer, warmer setup on September 7–8. Ensemble spreads reflect typical early-September variability, where small differences in timing of cloud build-up or wind gusts can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical September averages near 30°C, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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