Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a maximum temperature near 29–31°C on September 9, consistent with the rainy season’s typical afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover that limits peak heating. Model guidance from sources such as GFS and ECMWF, combined with high humidity and scattered thunderstorms, supports the market’s concentration on 31–33°C outcomes, as these align with climatological September highs around 30°C while allowing for modest upward variability if storms develop later in the day. Live observations and final model runs will determine resolution, with traders weighting the balance between expected rain-cooled air and any brief clear periods that could push readings slightly higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 9?
32°C 43%
33°C 24%
31°C 24%
30°C 8%
$10,207 Vol.
$10,207 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
8%
31°C
24%
32°C
43%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
4%
32°C 43%
33°C 24%
31°C 24%
30°C 8%
$10,207 Vol.
$10,207 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
8%
31°C
24%
32°C
43%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a maximum temperature near 29–31°C on September 9, consistent with the rainy season’s typical afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover that limits peak heating. Model guidance from sources such as GFS and ECMWF, combined with high humidity and scattered thunderstorms, supports the market’s concentration on 31–33°C outcomes, as these align with climatological September highs around 30°C while allowing for modest upward variability if storms develop later in the day. Live observations and final model runs will determine resolution, with traders weighting the balance between expected rain-cooled air and any brief clear periods that could push readings slightly higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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