Forecast models from sources including the Central Weather Administration and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Taipei on September 9 most likely near 30–31 °C, consistent with the market’s leading 31 °C (42 %) and 32 °C (22 %) outcomes. This range reflects the city’s humid subtropical September climatology—historical daily maxima average 30–31 °C—while current steering patterns and elevated moisture support scattered showers that limit full insolation and cap afternoon peaks. Recent observations on September 8 reached 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies; model runs for the following day show slightly increased cloud cover and northeast flow, trimming the upper tail and keeping probabilities for 33 °C or higher below 5 %. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against the possibility of brief clearing that could push readings one degree higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
31°C 42%
30°C 22%
32°C 22%
29°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C
22%
31°C
42%
32°C
22%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 42%
30°C 22%
32°C 22%
29°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
$355 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$466 Vol.
1%
27°C
$482 Vol.
3%
28°C
$204 Vol.
4%
29°C
$269 Vol.
5%
30°C
$343 Vol.
22%
31°C
$734 Vol.
42%
32°C
$2,559 Vol.
22%
33°C
$224 Vol.
3%
34°C
$220 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$87 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Central Weather Administration and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Taipei on September 9 most likely near 30–31 °C, consistent with the market’s leading 31 °C (42 %) and 32 °C (22 %) outcomes. This range reflects the city’s humid subtropical September climatology—historical daily maxima average 30–31 °C—while current steering patterns and elevated moisture support scattered showers that limit full insolation and cap afternoon peaks. Recent observations on September 8 reached 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies; model runs for the following day show slightly increased cloud cover and northeast flow, trimming the upper tail and keeping probabilities for 33 °C or higher below 5 %. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against the possibility of brief clearing that could push readings one degree higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,942End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Central Weather Administration and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Taipei on September 9 most likely near 30–31 °C, consistent with the market’s leading 31 °C (42 %) and 32 °C (22 %) outcomes. This range reflects the city’s humid subtropical September climatology—historical daily maxima average 30–31 °C—while current steering patterns and elevated moisture support scattered showers that limit full insolation and cap afternoon peaks. Recent observations on September 8 reached 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies; model runs for the following day show slightly increased cloud cover and northeast flow, trimming the upper tail and keeping probabilities for 33 °C or higher below 5 %. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against the possibility of brief clearing that could push readings one degree higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,942End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Central Weather Administration and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Taipei on September 9 most likely near 30–31 °C, consistent with the market’s leading 31 °C (42 %) and 32 °C (22 %) outcomes. This range reflects the city’s humid subtropical September climatology—historical daily maxima average 30–31 °C—while current steering patterns and elevated moisture support scattered showers that limit full insolation and cap afternoon peaks. Recent observations on September 8 reached 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies; model runs for the following day show slightly increased cloud cover and northeast flow, trimming the upper tail and keeping probabilities for 33 °C or higher below 5 %. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against the possibility of brief clearing that could push readings one degree higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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