Persistent heat across North Texas, with recent daily highs of 101–102°F on September 8–9, sets the stage for September 10 conditions in Dallas. National Weather Service and private forecasts converge on a sunny to partly cloudy day with afternoon highs near 98–101°F, though scattered thunderstorms could cap peak readings. Heat indices may reach 106–107°F under light southerly flow. The market's strong weighting toward 98–99°F reflects trader assessment of model consensus and typical afternoon convective timing, while the modest probability for 100–101°F accounts for drier scenarios. Historical September averages near 91°F underscore the anomalous warmth, with resolution hinging on official DFW-area maximum observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 10?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 10?
98-99°F 60%
96-97°F 23%
100-101°F 16%
94-95°F 4%
NEW
$16,132 Vol.
NEW
$16,132 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
60%
100-101°F
16%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 60%
96-97°F 23%
100-101°F 16%
94-95°F 4%
NEW
$16,132 Vol.
NEW
$16,132 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
89°F or below
$1,417 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$974 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$460 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$3,532 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$3,424 Vol.
23%
98-99°F
$2,504 Vol.
60%
100-101°F
$1,744 Vol.
16%
102-103°F
$842 Vol.
3%
104-105°F
$335 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$476 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$425 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across North Texas, with recent daily highs of 101–102°F on September 8–9, sets the stage for September 10 conditions in Dallas. National Weather Service and private forecasts converge on a sunny to partly cloudy day with afternoon highs near 98–101°F, though scattered thunderstorms could cap peak readings. Heat indices may reach 106–107°F under light southerly flow. The market's strong weighting toward 98–99°F reflects trader assessment of model consensus and typical afternoon convective timing, while the modest probability for 100–101°F accounts for drier scenarios. Historical September averages near 91°F underscore the anomalous warmth, with resolution hinging on official DFW-area maximum observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$16,132End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across North Texas, with recent daily highs of 101–102°F on September 8–9, sets the stage for September 10 conditions in Dallas. National Weather Service and private forecasts converge on a sunny to partly cloudy day with afternoon highs near 98–101°F, though scattered thunderstorms could cap peak readings. Heat indices may reach 106–107°F under light southerly flow. The market's strong weighting toward 98–99°F reflects trader assessment of model consensus and typical afternoon convective timing, while the modest probability for 100–101°F accounts for drier scenarios. Historical September averages near 91°F underscore the anomalous warmth, with resolution hinging on official DFW-area maximum observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,132End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat across North Texas, with recent daily highs of 101–102°F on September 8–9, sets the stage for September 10 conditions in Dallas. National Weather Service and private forecasts converge on a sunny to partly cloudy day with afternoon highs near 98–101°F, though scattered thunderstorms could cap peak readings. Heat indices may reach 106–107°F under light southerly flow. The market's strong weighting toward 98–99°F reflects trader assessment of model consensus and typical afternoon convective timing, while the modest probability for 100–101°F accounts for drier scenarios. Historical September averages near 91°F underscore the anomalous warmth, with resolution hinging on official DFW-area maximum observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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