Recent forecasts from regional models and Panama's IMHPA indicate daytime highs near 28–29°C for Panama City on September 11 amid typical rainy-season convection, with scattered thunderstorms expected to limit afternoon insolation through persistent cloud cover and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Trader consensus favoring 31–32°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in storm timing and intensity—stronger or earlier convection could suppress maxima further, while delayed or weaker activity under lighter trade winds might permit brief clearing and higher readings. Historical September baselines hover around 30°C, but elevated humidity and frequent precipitation this week have kept recent observations closer to 29°C, underscoring the sensitivity of peak temperatures to short-term atmospheric stability. Updated model runs and morning observations tomorrow will clarify steering patterns and convective initiation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 11?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 11?
32°C 37%
31°C 28%
33°C 19%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
28%
32°C
37%
33°C
19%
34°C or higher
4%
32°C 37%
31°C 28%
33°C 19%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
$13 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$86 Vol.
4%
30°C
$169 Vol.
14%
31°C
$79 Vol.
28%
32°C
$795 Vol.
37%
33°C
$505 Vol.
19%
34°C or higher
$64 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models and Panama's IMHPA indicate daytime highs near 28–29°C for Panama City on September 11 amid typical rainy-season convection, with scattered thunderstorms expected to limit afternoon insolation through persistent cloud cover and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Trader consensus favoring 31–32°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in storm timing and intensity—stronger or earlier convection could suppress maxima further, while delayed or weaker activity under lighter trade winds might permit brief clearing and higher readings. Historical September baselines hover around 30°C, but elevated humidity and frequent precipitation this week have kept recent observations closer to 29°C, underscoring the sensitivity of peak temperatures to short-term atmospheric stability. Updated model runs and morning observations tomorrow will clarify steering patterns and convective initiation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,711End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models and Panama's IMHPA indicate daytime highs near 28–29°C for Panama City on September 11 amid typical rainy-season convection, with scattered thunderstorms expected to limit afternoon insolation through persistent cloud cover and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Trader consensus favoring 31–32°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in storm timing and intensity—stronger or earlier convection could suppress maxima further, while delayed or weaker activity under lighter trade winds might permit brief clearing and higher readings. Historical September baselines hover around 30°C, but elevated humidity and frequent precipitation this week have kept recent observations closer to 29°C, underscoring the sensitivity of peak temperatures to short-term atmospheric stability. Updated model runs and morning observations tomorrow will clarify steering patterns and convective initiation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,711End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models and Panama's IMHPA indicate daytime highs near 28–29°C for Panama City on September 11 amid typical rainy-season convection, with scattered thunderstorms expected to limit afternoon insolation through persistent cloud cover and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Trader consensus favoring 31–32°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in storm timing and intensity—stronger or earlier convection could suppress maxima further, while delayed or weaker activity under lighter trade winds might permit brief clearing and higher readings. Historical September baselines hover around 30°C, but elevated humidity and frequent precipitation this week have kept recent observations closer to 29°C, underscoring the sensitivity of peak temperatures to short-term atmospheric stability. Updated model runs and morning observations tomorrow will clarify steering patterns and convective initiation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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