Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 8, 2026, indicate persistent warm conditions with official model guidance pointing to overnight lows in the 25–27°C range amid daytime highs near 35–38°C and limited cloud cover or light rain potential. The market's elevated implied probability for 23°C or below reflects uncertainty from possible steering pattern shifts or localized cooling associated with approaching moisture, while probabilities clustered around 25–28°C align with climatological baselines and current ensemble consensus from regional agencies. Recent observations show no sharp cooling trend, with prior days recording minima near 24–27°C, leaving resolution dependent on updated model runs and any late adjustments to the subtropical ridge position.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 8?
23°C or below 100%
33°C or higher 97%
24°C 49%
30°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
23°C or below
100%
24°C
49%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
31%
29°C
30%
30°C
49%
31°C
49%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
97%
23°C or below 100%
33°C or higher 97%
24°C 49%
30°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
31%
29°C
$0 Vol.
30%
30°C
$0 Vol.
49%
31°C
$0 Vol.
49%
32°C
$0 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 8, 2026, indicate persistent warm conditions with official model guidance pointing to overnight lows in the 25–27°C range amid daytime highs near 35–38°C and limited cloud cover or light rain potential. The market's elevated implied probability for 23°C or below reflects uncertainty from possible steering pattern shifts or localized cooling associated with approaching moisture, while probabilities clustered around 25–28°C align with climatological baselines and current ensemble consensus from regional agencies. Recent observations show no sharp cooling trend, with prior days recording minima near 24–27°C, leaving resolution dependent on updated model runs and any late adjustments to the subtropical ridge position.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 8, 2026, indicate persistent warm conditions with official model guidance pointing to overnight lows in the 25–27°C range amid daytime highs near 35–38°C and limited cloud cover or light rain potential. The market's elevated implied probability for 23°C or below reflects uncertainty from possible steering pattern shifts or localized cooling associated with approaching moisture, while probabilities clustered around 25–28°C align with climatological baselines and current ensemble consensus from regional agencies. Recent observations show no sharp cooling trend, with prior days recording minima near 24–27°C, leaving resolution dependent on updated model runs and any late adjustments to the subtropical ridge position.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 8, 2026, indicate persistent warm conditions with official model guidance pointing to overnight lows in the 25–27°C range amid daytime highs near 35–38°C and limited cloud cover or light rain potential. The market's elevated implied probability for 23°C or below reflects uncertainty from possible steering pattern shifts or localized cooling associated with approaching moisture, while probabilities clustered around 25–28°C align with climatological baselines and current ensemble consensus from regional agencies. Recent observations show no sharp cooling trend, with prior days recording minima near 24–27°C, leaving resolution dependent on updated model runs and any late adjustments to the subtropical ridge position.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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