Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a September 6 high near 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light southwesterly winds. Continental airflow and lingering moisture from nearby tropical systems are capping daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and precipitation timing create the main spread in outcomes. Historical September maxima average around 30°C, and current model consensus shows limited potential for stronger insolation or clearer conditions that could push readings higher. Traders assign the tightest probabilities to 29–32°C because small shifts in shower timing or wind direction can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
30°C 37%
31°C 32%
29°C 26%
32°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
21%
29°C
26%
30°C
37%
31°C
32%
32°C
28%
33°C
11%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 32%
29°C 26%
32°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$103 Vol.
21%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$0 Vol.
37%
31°C
$0 Vol.
32%
32°C
$228 Vol.
28%
33°C
$0 Vol.
11%
34°C
$14 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$14 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a September 6 high near 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light southwesterly winds. Continental airflow and lingering moisture from nearby tropical systems are capping daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and precipitation timing create the main spread in outcomes. Historical September maxima average around 30°C, and current model consensus shows limited potential for stronger insolation or clearer conditions that could push readings higher. Traders assign the tightest probabilities to 29–32°C because small shifts in shower timing or wind direction can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$360End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a September 6 high near 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light southwesterly winds. Continental airflow and lingering moisture from nearby tropical systems are capping daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and precipitation timing create the main spread in outcomes. Historical September maxima average around 30°C, and current model consensus shows limited potential for stronger insolation or clearer conditions that could push readings higher. Traders assign the tightest probabilities to 29–32°C because small shifts in shower timing or wind direction can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$360End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a September 6 high near 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light southwesterly winds. Continental airflow and lingering moisture from nearby tropical systems are capping daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and precipitation timing create the main spread in outcomes. Historical September maxima average around 30°C, and current model consensus shows limited potential for stronger insolation or clearer conditions that could push readings higher. Traders assign the tightest probabilities to 29–32°C because small shifts in shower timing or wind direction can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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