Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting model runs point to a lowest temperature on September 6 near 26–27 °C, driven by light southerly to variable winds under 3 m/s, high humidity near 90 percent at night, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of early September under weak continental flow with scattered showers, suppress the usual nocturnal temperature drop and align with the market’s tight clustering between 25 °C and 27 °C. Slight model differences in cloud timing and wind direction create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the low probability assigned to 23 °C or below reflects the absence of any strong cooling mechanism such as clear skies or northerly advection. Updated guidance from the Observatory and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
27°C 42%
26°C 32%
24°C 24%
23°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
15%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
21%
26°C
32%
27°C
35%
28°C
20%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
8%
27°C 42%
26°C 32%
24°C 24%
23°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
15%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$41 Vol.
35%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting model runs point to a lowest temperature on September 6 near 26–27 °C, driven by light southerly to variable winds under 3 m/s, high humidity near 90 percent at night, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of early September under weak continental flow with scattered showers, suppress the usual nocturnal temperature drop and align with the market’s tight clustering between 25 °C and 27 °C. Slight model differences in cloud timing and wind direction create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the low probability assigned to 23 °C or below reflects the absence of any strong cooling mechanism such as clear skies or northerly advection. Updated guidance from the Observatory and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$41End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting model runs point to a lowest temperature on September 6 near 26–27 °C, driven by light southerly to variable winds under 3 m/s, high humidity near 90 percent at night, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of early September under weak continental flow with scattered showers, suppress the usual nocturnal temperature drop and align with the market’s tight clustering between 25 °C and 27 °C. Slight model differences in cloud timing and wind direction create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the low probability assigned to 23 °C or below reflects the absence of any strong cooling mechanism such as clear skies or northerly advection. Updated guidance from the Observatory and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$41End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting model runs point to a lowest temperature on September 6 near 26–27 °C, driven by light southerly to variable winds under 3 m/s, high humidity near 90 percent at night, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of early September under weak continental flow with scattered showers, suppress the usual nocturnal temperature drop and align with the market’s tight clustering between 25 °C and 27 °C. Slight model differences in cloud timing and wind direction create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the low probability assigned to 23 °C or below reflects the absence of any strong cooling mechanism such as clear skies or northerly advection. Updated guidance from the Observatory and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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