Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical weather models indicate a mild overnight minimum near 10°C for Moscow on September 10, 2026, driven by southerly flow, light winds of 2–10 m/s, limited cloud cover, and daytime highs of 24–26°C—well above the seasonal norm of roughly 17–18°C. Real-time observations through midday confirm temperatures holding in the low 20s°C, consistent with the expected diurnal range that anchors the daily low near 10°C. Trader consensus near 100% on this outcome reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance, though modest shifts toward greater radiational cooling or altered steering patterns could realistically push the verified minimum a degree or two lower before final NOAA resolution at Vnukovo Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,310 Vol.
$1,310 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,310 Vol.
$1,310 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
4°C or below
$70 Vol.
No
5°C
$45 Vol.
No
6°C
$30 Vol.
No
7°C
$82 Vol.
No
8°C
$50 Vol.
No
9°C
$122 Vol.
No
10°C
$366 Vol.
Yes
11°C
$187 Vol.
No
12°C
$177 Vol.
No
13°C
$141 Vol.
No
14°C or higher
$40 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical weather models indicate a mild overnight minimum near 10°C for Moscow on September 10, 2026, driven by southerly flow, light winds of 2–10 m/s, limited cloud cover, and daytime highs of 24–26°C—well above the seasonal norm of roughly 17–18°C. Real-time observations through midday confirm temperatures holding in the low 20s°C, consistent with the expected diurnal range that anchors the daily low near 10°C. Trader consensus near 100% on this outcome reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance, though modest shifts toward greater radiational cooling or altered steering patterns could realistically push the verified minimum a degree or two lower before final NOAA resolution at Vnukovo Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,310End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical weather models indicate a mild overnight minimum near 10°C for Moscow on September 10, 2026, driven by southerly flow, light winds of 2–10 m/s, limited cloud cover, and daytime highs of 24–26°C—well above the seasonal norm of roughly 17–18°C. Real-time observations through midday confirm temperatures holding in the low 20s°C, consistent with the expected diurnal range that anchors the daily low near 10°C. Trader consensus near 100% on this outcome reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance, though modest shifts toward greater radiational cooling or altered steering patterns could realistically push the verified minimum a degree or two lower before final NOAA resolution at Vnukovo Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,310End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical weather models indicate a mild overnight minimum near 10°C for Moscow on September 10, 2026, driven by southerly flow, light winds of 2–10 m/s, limited cloud cover, and daytime highs of 24–26°C—well above the seasonal norm of roughly 17–18°C. Real-time observations through midday confirm temperatures holding in the low 20s°C, consistent with the expected diurnal range that anchors the daily low near 10°C. Trader consensus near 100% on this outcome reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance, though modest shifts toward greater radiational cooling or altered steering patterns could realistically push the verified minimum a degree or two lower before final NOAA resolution at Vnukovo Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions