Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Paris's September 11 maximum near 24–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. High pressure maintains subsidence and modest boundary-layer mixing, while variable cloud cover limits peak solar insolation and caps afternoon warming relative to clearer analogs. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any partial clearing and small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, which determine how much surface heat accumulates before evening radiative cooling begins. With resolution expected within hours of local noon, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological September norms of roughly 22 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on September 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 11?
25°C 35%
24°C 33%
23°C 14%
26°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
33%
25°C
35%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 35%
24°C 33%
23°C 14%
26°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
$134 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$20 Vol.
1%
21°C
$217 Vol.
3%
22°C
$238 Vol.
4%
23°C
$1,167 Vol.
14%
24°C
$839 Vol.
33%
25°C
$2,146 Vol.
35%
26°C
$1,268 Vol.
9%
27°C
$423 Vol.
2%
28°C
$177 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$326 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Paris's September 11 maximum near 24–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. High pressure maintains subsidence and modest boundary-layer mixing, while variable cloud cover limits peak solar insolation and caps afternoon warming relative to clearer analogs. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any partial clearing and small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, which determine how much surface heat accumulates before evening radiative cooling begins. With resolution expected within hours of local noon, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological September norms of roughly 22 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,955End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Paris's September 11 maximum near 24–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. High pressure maintains subsidence and modest boundary-layer mixing, while variable cloud cover limits peak solar insolation and caps afternoon warming relative to clearer analogs. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any partial clearing and small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, which determine how much surface heat accumulates before evening radiative cooling begins. With resolution expected within hours of local noon, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological September norms of roughly 22 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,955End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Paris's September 11 maximum near 24–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. High pressure maintains subsidence and modest boundary-layer mixing, while variable cloud cover limits peak solar insolation and caps afternoon warming relative to clearer analogs. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any partial clearing and small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, which determine how much surface heat accumulates before evening radiative cooling begins. With resolution expected within hours of local noon, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological September norms of roughly 22 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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