Current high-pressure systems centered over the East Sea and northern China are steering northeasterly flow across Busan, maintaining mostly clear skies through September 10 and promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models project a daily minimum near 19–21°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the coastal site, though variable low-level moisture and wind mixing introduce modest uncertainty around exact thresholds. This setup explains the near-even market-implied odds between extremes above 24°C and below 14°C, as traders weigh the potential for enhanced cooling versus persistent maritime moderation ahead of the next forecast update cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Busan on September 10?
24°C or higher 88%
14°C or below 86%
15°C 39%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
86%
15°C
39%
16°C
20%
17°C
20%
18°C
21%
19°C
26%
20°C
22%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
39%
24°C or higher
88%
24°C or higher 88%
14°C or below 86%
15°C 39%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
$30 Vol.
86%
15°C
$25 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$0 Vol.
20%
23°C
$10 Vol.
39%
24°C or higher
$25 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure systems centered over the East Sea and northern China are steering northeasterly flow across Busan, maintaining mostly clear skies through September 10 and promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models project a daily minimum near 19–21°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the coastal site, though variable low-level moisture and wind mixing introduce modest uncertainty around exact thresholds. This setup explains the near-even market-implied odds between extremes above 24°C and below 14°C, as traders weigh the potential for enhanced cooling versus persistent maritime moderation ahead of the next forecast update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$90End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure systems centered over the East Sea and northern China are steering northeasterly flow across Busan, maintaining mostly clear skies through September 10 and promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models project a daily minimum near 19–21°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the coastal site, though variable low-level moisture and wind mixing introduce modest uncertainty around exact thresholds. This setup explains the near-even market-implied odds between extremes above 24°C and below 14°C, as traders weigh the potential for enhanced cooling versus persistent maritime moderation ahead of the next forecast update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current high-pressure systems centered over the East Sea and northern China are steering northeasterly flow across Busan, maintaining mostly clear skies through September 10 and promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models project a daily minimum near 19–21°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the coastal site, though variable low-level moisture and wind mixing introduce modest uncertainty around exact thresholds. This setup explains the near-even market-implied odds between extremes above 24°C and below 14°C, as traders weigh the potential for enhanced cooling versus persistent maritime moderation ahead of the next forecast update cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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