Ongoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-latitude trough are suppressing daytime heating and limiting overnight radiative cooling in Munich, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 11–13 °C according to consensus model guidance. Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air further constrain the diurnal range, while embedded showers add localized evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as the Deutscher Wetterdienst and Met Office currently project a daily minimum of 11–12 °C, aligning with the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C. Updated high-resolution model runs and surface observations through the evening will determine whether the low settles at or below the 12 °C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 9?
11°C 48%
13°C 46%
12°C 46%
14°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
5%
10°C
8%
11°C
48%
12°C
46%
13°C
46%
14°C
27%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
4%
18°C or higher
<1%
11°C 48%
13°C 46%
12°C 46%
14°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
8°C or below
$93 Vol.
1%
9°C
$80 Vol.
5%
10°C
$20 Vol.
8%
11°C
$0 Vol.
48%
12°C
$0 Vol.
46%
13°C
$5 Vol.
46%
14°C
$5 Vol.
27%
15°C
$63 Vol.
5%
16°C
$25 Vol.
5%
17°C
$582 Vol.
4%
18°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-latitude trough are suppressing daytime heating and limiting overnight radiative cooling in Munich, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 11–13 °C according to consensus model guidance. Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air further constrain the diurnal range, while embedded showers add localized evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as the Deutscher Wetterdienst and Met Office currently project a daily minimum of 11–12 °C, aligning with the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C. Updated high-resolution model runs and surface observations through the evening will determine whether the low settles at or below the 12 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$927End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-latitude trough are suppressing daytime heating and limiting overnight radiative cooling in Munich, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 11–13 °C according to consensus model guidance. Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air further constrain the diurnal range, while embedded showers add localized evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as the Deutscher Wetterdienst and Met Office currently project a daily minimum of 11–12 °C, aligning with the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C. Updated high-resolution model runs and surface observations through the evening will determine whether the low settles at or below the 12 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$927End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-latitude trough are suppressing daytime heating and limiting overnight radiative cooling in Munich, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 11–13 °C according to consensus model guidance. Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air further constrain the diurnal range, while embedded showers add localized evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as the Deutscher Wetterdienst and Met Office currently project a daily minimum of 11–12 °C, aligning with the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C. Updated high-resolution model runs and surface observations through the evening will determine whether the low settles at or below the 12 °C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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