**Recent model consensus points to a mild overnight low in Munich around 10–12°C on September 10, driven by northeast winds and increasing cloud cover following a sharp cooldown.** A warm, sunny September 8 (highs near 30–32°C) gave way to widespread rain and thunderstorms on the 9th, with highs dropping to 20–22°C and stronger westerly flow. This sets up cooler, stable air advecting into the region for the 10th, when forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and global models show mostly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds, and overnight lows near 11–12°C (roughly 52–54°F). Ensemble spread and typical model uncertainty around boundary-layer processes—such as the degree of radiative cooling under variable cloud cover versus mixing from light winds—create the near-even split between the 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher buckets. Historical September 10 lows average 10.8°C, with rare excursions below 5°C or above 15°C, but the current setup favors values clustered near the long-term mean unless a clearer or windier night develops. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours, plus any updated National Meteorological Service guidance, will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 10?
16°C or higher 87%
6°C or below 42%
8°C 26%
9°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
6°C or below
42%
7°C
13%
8°C
26%
9°C
22%
10°C
21%
11°C
18%
12°C
15%
13°C
15%
14°C
15%
15°C
15%
16°C or higher
87%
16°C or higher 87%
6°C or below 42%
8°C 26%
9°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
42%
7°C
$0 Vol.
13%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
22%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
18%
12°C
$0 Vol.
15%
13°C
$0 Vol.
15%
14°C
$25 Vol.
15%
15°C
$50 Vol.
15%
16°C or higher
$30 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a mild overnight low in Munich around 10–12°C on September 10, driven by northeast winds and increasing cloud cover following a sharp cooldown.** A warm, sunny September 8 (highs near 30–32°C) gave way to widespread rain and thunderstorms on the 9th, with highs dropping to 20–22°C and stronger westerly flow. This sets up cooler, stable air advecting into the region for the 10th, when forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and global models show mostly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds, and overnight lows near 11–12°C (roughly 52–54°F).
Ensemble spread and typical model uncertainty around boundary-layer processes—such as the degree of radiative cooling under variable cloud cover versus mixing from light winds—create the near-even split between the 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher buckets. Historical September 10 lows average 10.8°C, with rare excursions below 5°C or above 15°C, but the current setup favors values clustered near the long-term mean unless a clearer or windier night develops. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours, plus any updated National Meteorological Service guidance, will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$105End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a mild overnight low in Munich around 10–12°C on September 10, driven by northeast winds and increasing cloud cover following a sharp cooldown.** A warm, sunny September 8 (highs near 30–32°C) gave way to widespread rain and thunderstorms on the 9th, with highs dropping to 20–22°C and stronger westerly flow. This sets up cooler, stable air advecting into the region for the 10th, when forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and global models show mostly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds, and overnight lows near 11–12°C (roughly 52–54°F).
Ensemble spread and typical model uncertainty around boundary-layer processes—such as the degree of radiative cooling under variable cloud cover versus mixing from light winds—create the near-even split between the 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher buckets. Historical September 10 lows average 10.8°C, with rare excursions below 5°C or above 15°C, but the current setup favors values clustered near the long-term mean unless a clearer or windier night develops. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours, plus any updated National Meteorological Service guidance, will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$105End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus points to a mild overnight low in Munich around 10–12°C on September 10, driven by northeast winds and increasing cloud cover following a sharp cooldown.** A warm, sunny September 8 (highs near 30–32°C) gave way to widespread rain and thunderstorms on the 9th, with highs dropping to 20–22°C and stronger westerly flow. This sets up cooler, stable air advecting into the region for the 10th, when forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and global models show mostly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds, and overnight lows near 11–12°C (roughly 52–54°F). Ensemble spread and typical model uncertainty around boundary-layer processes—such as the degree of radiative cooling under variable cloud cover versus mixing from light winds—create the near-even split between the 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher buckets. Historical September 10 lows average 10.8°C, with rare excursions below 5°C or above 15°C, but the current setup favors values clustered near the long-term mean unless a clearer or windier night develops. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours, plus any updated National Meteorological Service guidance, will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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