**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the highest temperature recorded at Vnukovo International Airport on September 9, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data aligning with official forecasts.** Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance and numerical weather models projected daytime maxima of 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–8 m/s, and stable pressure near 760 mmHg, with no precipitation. This outcome sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 17.7°C for the date yet remains well within historical variability. Market-implied odds near 100% for 21°C indicate traders view the station’s hourly readings as unlikely to deviate outside this narrow band. A material shift would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$33,437 Vol.
$33,437 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$33,437 Vol.
$33,437 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
$296 Vol.
No
15°C
$296 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,468 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,676 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,003 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,790 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,258 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,016 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$8,000 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,600 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$3,035 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the highest temperature recorded at Vnukovo International Airport on September 9, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data aligning with official forecasts.** Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance and numerical weather models projected daytime maxima of 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–8 m/s, and stable pressure near 760 mmHg, with no precipitation. This outcome sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 17.7°C for the date yet remains well within historical variability. Market-implied odds near 100% for 21°C indicate traders view the station’s hourly readings as unlikely to deviate outside this narrow band. A material shift would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$33,437End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the highest temperature recorded at Vnukovo International Airport on September 9, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data aligning with official forecasts.** Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance and numerical weather models projected daytime maxima of 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–8 m/s, and stable pressure near 760 mmHg, with no precipitation. This outcome sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 17.7°C for the date yet remains well within historical variability. Market-implied odds near 100% for 21°C indicate traders view the station’s hourly readings as unlikely to deviate outside this narrow band. A material shift would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,437End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the highest temperature recorded at Vnukovo International Airport on September 9, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data aligning with official forecasts.** Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance and numerical weather models projected daytime maxima of 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–8 m/s, and stable pressure near 760 mmHg, with no precipitation. This outcome sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 17.7°C for the date yet remains well within historical variability. Market-implied odds near 100% for 21°C indicate traders view the station’s hourly readings as unlikely to deviate outside this narrow band. A material shift would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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