Northeast monsoon conditions established over southern China produced the stable overnight environment that drove near-unanimous trader consensus toward a 26°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 10. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and supporting model runs projected a low of 26°C under partly cloudy skies, with northeast winds of 4–5 knots limiting radiative cooling and keeping temperatures within the mid-20s°C range observed at multiple stations. Seasonal norms for early September, combined with dry daytime air and low precipitation probability, reinforced this narrow outcome. A shift in wind patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised station data could still alter the recorded value, though current observational consistency leaves little room for deviation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$40,351 Vol.
$40,351 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$40,351 Vol.
$40,351 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
21°C or below
$290 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,119 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,105 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,420 Vol.
No
25°C
$8,467 Vol.
No
26°C
$8,385 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$9,406 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,767 Vol.
No
29°C
$135 Vol.
No
30°C
$116 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$141 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon conditions established over southern China produced the stable overnight environment that drove near-unanimous trader consensus toward a 26°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 10. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and supporting model runs projected a low of 26°C under partly cloudy skies, with northeast winds of 4–5 knots limiting radiative cooling and keeping temperatures within the mid-20s°C range observed at multiple stations. Seasonal norms for early September, combined with dry daytime air and low precipitation probability, reinforced this narrow outcome. A shift in wind patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised station data could still alter the recorded value, though current observational consistency leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$40,351End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon conditions established over southern China produced the stable overnight environment that drove near-unanimous trader consensus toward a 26°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 10. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and supporting model runs projected a low of 26°C under partly cloudy skies, with northeast winds of 4–5 knots limiting radiative cooling and keeping temperatures within the mid-20s°C range observed at multiple stations. Seasonal norms for early September, combined with dry daytime air and low precipitation probability, reinforced this narrow outcome. A shift in wind patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised station data could still alter the recorded value, though current observational consistency leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$40,351End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Northeast monsoon conditions established over southern China produced the stable overnight environment that drove near-unanimous trader consensus toward a 26°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 10. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and supporting model runs projected a low of 26°C under partly cloudy skies, with northeast winds of 4–5 knots limiting radiative cooling and keeping temperatures within the mid-20s°C range observed at multiple stations. Seasonal norms for early September, combined with dry daytime air and low precipitation probability, reinforced this narrow outcome. A shift in wind patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised station data could still alter the recorded value, though current observational consistency leaves little room for deviation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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